TSX:MTL

Stock Analysis Report

NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Header cover image

Market Cap

CA$1.3b

Last Updated

2021/06/17 03:16 UTC

Data Sources

Company Financials +

Executive Summary

Mullen Group Ltd. provides trucking and logistics services in Canada and the United States. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Good value with proven track record.

Share Price & News

How has Mullen Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: MTL is less volatile than 75% of Canadian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.

Volatility Over Time: MTL's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

0.8%

MTL

-0.5%

CA Transportation

0.3%

CA Market


1 Year Return

72.6%

MTL

23.3%

CA Transportation

35.9%

CA Market

Return vs Industry: MTL exceeded the Canadian Transportation industry which returned 23.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MTL exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 35.9% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

MTLIndustryMarket
7 Day0.8%-0.5%0.3%
30 Day0.4%1.9%2.6%
90 Day8.0%-5.5%5.9%
1 Year78.8%72.6%25.1%23.3%40.4%35.9%
3 Year3.0%-10.8%54.5%47.3%31.3%18.8%
5 Year9.8%-9.8%132.3%114.7%61.9%37.5%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Mullen Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Mullen Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

28.7%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: MTL (CA$13.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$18.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: MTL is good value based on its PE Ratio (17.9x) compared to the Canadian Transportation industry average (24.7x).

PE vs Market: MTL is poor value based on its PE Ratio (17.9x) compared to the Canadian market (15x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: MTL is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: MTL is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.4x) compared to the CA Transportation industry average (4.8x).


Future Growth

How is Mullen Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

13.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MTL's forecast earnings growth (13.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.5%).

Earnings vs Market: MTL's earnings (13.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (14% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MTL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MTL's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MTL's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if MTL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Mullen Group performed over the past 5 years?

0.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: MTL has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: MTL's current net profit margins (6.4%) are higher than last year (5.1%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: MTL's earnings have grown by 0.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: MTL's earnings growth over the past year (10.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (0.8% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: MTL earnings growth over the past year (10.6%) underperformed the Transportation industry 10.6%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: MTL's Return on Equity (8.1%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is Mullen Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: MTL's short term assets (CA$354.7M) exceed its short term liabilities (CA$107.6M).

Long Term Liabilities: MTL's short term assets (CA$354.7M) do not cover its long term liabilities (CA$707.4M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: MTL's debt to equity ratio (63.7%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: MTL's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 88.8% to 63.7% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: MTL's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (39.2%).

Interest Coverage: MTL's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (4.2x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Mullen Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

3.67%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: MTL's dividend (3.67%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (1.57%).

High Dividend: MTL's dividend (3.67%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (4.43%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: MTL's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: MTL's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (41%), MTL's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: MTL's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be covered by earnings (64% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

10.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Murray Mullen (64 yo)

no data

Tenure

CA$650,000

Compensation

Mr. Murray Kenneth Mullen serves as the President of Mullen Trucking Corp. Mr. Mullen has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of Mullen Group Ltd. since June 30, 2014 and served as its Co-Chief ...


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: MTL's management team is seasoned and experienced (10.8 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: MTL's board of directors are considered experienced (9 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: MTL insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Mullen Group Ltd.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Mullen Group Ltd.
  • Ticker: MTL
  • Exchange: TSX
  • Founded: 1949
  • Industry: Trucking
  • Sector: Transportation
  • Market Cap: CA$1.277b
  • Shares outstanding: 95.85m
  • Website: https://www.mullen-group.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Mullen Group Ltd.
  • Chimney Rock Centre
  • 121A-31 Southridge Drive
  • Okotoks
  • Alberta
  • T1S 2N3
  • Canada

Listings


Biography

Mullen Group Ltd. provides trucking and logistics services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through three segments: Less-Than-Truckload, Logistics & Warehousing, and Specialized & Indu...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/06/17 03:16
End of Day Share Price2021/06/16 00:00
Earnings2021/03/31
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.