Mullen Group Ltd.

TSX:MTL Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$2.2b

Mullen Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

Mullen Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 4.3%, while the Transportation industry saw earnings growing at 1.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9% per year. Mullen Group's return on equity is 8.2%, and it has net margins of 4.3%.

Key information

4.29%

Earnings growth rate

6.15%

EPS growth rate

Transportation Industry Growth13.78%
Revenue growth rate8.97%
Return on equity8.24%
Net Margin4.32%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article Feb 19

Some May Be Optimistic About Mullen Group's (TSE:MTL) Earnings

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Mullen Group Ltd.'s ( TSE:MTL ) lackluster earnings report last week. Our...

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 06

MTL: Higher Multiple Assumptions And Buybacks Will Shape Future Cash Flow Confidence

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Mullen Group slightly higher to CA$21.50, reflecting a series of recent price target increases of CA$0.75 to CA$3 across several firms, along with modest adjustments to discount rate, profit margin, revenue growth, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on higher price targets for Mullen Group, with several firms lifting their estimates by between CA$0.75 and CA$3.
Narrative Update May 13

MTL: Higher Multiple Assumptions And Share Buybacks Will Guide Future Cash Flow Confidence

Analysts have lifted their targets on Mullen Group by CA$0.75 to CA$3 across several firms, reflecting updated views that are now captured in the unchanged fair value estimate and slightly revised discount rate and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mullen Group has centered on updated price targets clustered in a relatively narrow range, with adjustments captured in the current fair value estimate and modest tweaks to discount rate and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 28

MTL: Higher Multiple Expectations And Buybacks Will Shape Future Cash Flow Confidence

Mullen Group’s updated fair value estimate has shifted from CA$18.90 to CA$21.30. This reflects a higher analyst price target following a series of recent target increases from multiple Canadian banks that cite stronger revenue growth expectations, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, partly offset by more conservative profit margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 10

MTL: Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Cash Flow Confidence

Analysts have increased their price target on Mullen Group by CA$0.75, citing higher assumed profit margins and a lower future P/E estimate as key elements in the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher assumed profit margins as support for a higher justified valuation, which feeds directly into the CA$0.75 and CA$2.50 target moves.
Narrative Update Mar 27

MTL: Dividend Track Record And Buybacks Will Support Higher Cash Flow Confidence

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Mullen Group by CA$2.00 to a range of CA$17.00 to CA$19.50 at the high end, citing updated views that feed into a slightly lower discount rate and a small adjustment to the forward P/E used in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a slightly more constructive tone on Mullen Group, with price targets now clustered in the CA$17.00 to CA$19.50 range.
Narrative Update Mar 12

MTL: Dividend Track Record And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future P/E

Analysts have inched their average fair value estimate for Mullen Group higher, with price targets moving up to around CA$17 to CA$18.75 as recent research updates cite refreshed views on the company’s earnings outlook and sector positioning. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets into the CA$17 to CA$18.75 range suggest they see the current share price as leaving room for upside if the company continues to execute on its earnings plans.
Narrative Update Feb 25

MTL: Dividend Status And Steady Guidance Will Support Higher Future P/E

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Mullen Group slightly higher to CA$18.73, supported by recent Street price target increases to CA$17 at CIBC and a further CA$2.50 uplift at another firm, while also adjusting assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent target price changes around CA$17 to CA$18.73 give you a window into how the Street is thinking about Mullen Group today, especially around execution, growth expectations and the level of risk that should be priced into the shares.
Analysis Article Feb 19

Some May Be Optimistic About Mullen Group's (TSE:MTL) Earnings

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Mullen Group Ltd.'s ( TSE:MTL ) lackluster earnings report last week. Our...
Analysis Article Feb 15

Mullen Group Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 5.7%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that Mullen Group Ltd. ( TSE:MTL ) released its annual result to the market. The early...
Narrative Update Feb 11

MTL: Dividend Inclusion And Steady Guidance Will Support Moderate P/E Upside

Analysts nudged their fair value estimate for Mullen Group to CA$18.68 from CA$18.58, reflecting recent price target increases from firms such as CIBC and Scotiabank that cite updated assumptions around discount rate, modest revenue growth and P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more constructive stance on Mullen Group, with several firms revisiting their assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and P/E levels.
Narrative Update Jan 27

MTL: Higher P/E Expectations May Support Upside As Fair Value Rises

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their implied fair value estimate for Mullen Group from C$17.40 to C$18.58, reflecting recent price target changes and updated assumptions around revenue, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show analysts adjusting their price targets higher for Mullen Group, which feeds directly into the latest implied fair value estimate.
Analysis Article Jan 27

Mullen Group (TSE:MTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.07

Mullen Group Ltd. ( TSE:MTL ) will pay a dividend of CA$0.07 on the 17th of February. This makes the dividend yield...
Narrative Update Jan 13

MTL: Future Acquisitions And Higher P/E Expectations May Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price targets on Mullen Group, and our fair value estimate has increased from C$16.50 to C$17.40, supported by recent target increases from several firms and updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have lifted price targets into a C$17 to C$20 range, which lines up with a view that the shares can support a higher valuation multiple than previously assumed.
Analysis Article Dec 22

Mullen Group (TSE:MTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.07

The board of Mullen Group Ltd. ( TSE:MTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.07 per share on the 15th...
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New Narrative Feb 20

M&A Strategy And US 3PL Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Mullen Group's strategic acquisitions and focus on the 3PL market aim to drive revenue growth despite macro challenges.
Analysis Article Feb 14

Insufficient Growth At Mullen Group Ltd. (TSE:MTL) Hampers Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.3x Mullen Group Ltd. ( TSE:MTL ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
Analysis Article May 28

Mullen Group (TSE:MTL) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.06

Mullen Group Ltd. ( TSE:MTL ) will pay a dividend of CA$0.06 on the 17th of June. This means the annual payment is 5.5...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Mullen Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:MTL Revenue, expenses and earnings (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 262,184942950
31 Dec 252,134912880
30 Sep 252,099952980
30 Jun 252,0691002910
31 Mar 252,0241082790
31 Dec 241,9891122710
30 Sep 241,9891232740
30 Jun 241,9611242650
31 Mar 241,9591272630
31 Dec 231,9951372620
30 Sep 231,9991692590
30 Jun 232,0131682530
31 Mar 232,0401742470
31 Dec 221,9991592420
30 Sep 221,9391172480
30 Jun 221,853972360
31 Mar 221,644762200
31 Dec 211,477721990
30 Sep 211,333621810
30 Jun 211,192711620
31 Mar 211,137721550
31 Dec 201,164641570
30 Sep 201,181621480
30 Jun 201,216571610
31 Mar 201,277651660
31 Dec 191,279721680
30 Sep 191,297-171690
30 Jun 191,312-161720
31 Mar 191,288-341710
31 Dec 181,261-441690
30 Sep 181,224431630
30 Jun 181,168471600
31 Mar 181,146521580
31 Dec 171,138661550
30 Sep 171,100601470
30 Jun 171,075511370
31 Mar 171,048451340
31 Dec 161,035521420
30 Sep 161,065551470
30 Jun 161,111451480
31 Mar 161,149321540
31 Dec 151,214131410
30 Sep 151,272331450
30 Jun 151,324361510

Quality Earnings: MTL has a large one-off loss of CA$34.3M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: MTL's current net profit margins (4.3%) are lower than last year (5.3%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: MTL's earnings have grown by 4.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: MTL's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: MTL had negative earnings growth (-12.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Transportation industry average (-12.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: MTL's Return on Equity (8.2%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/09 05:00
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mullen Group Ltd. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Trevor ReynoldsAcumen Capital Finance Partners Limited
Dana BennerATB Cormark
David OcampoATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)