Stock Analysis

Mullen Group (TSE:MTL) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.06

TSX:MTL
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The board of Mullen Group Ltd. (TSE:MTL) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of March, with investors receiving CA$0.06 per share. The dividend yield will be 5.1% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Mullen Group

Mullen Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Mullen Group's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 48.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 75%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
TSX:MTL Historic Dividend February 25th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$1.00 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.72. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.2% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Mullen Group has been growing its earnings per share at 22% a year over the past five years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that Mullen Group could prove to be a strong dividend payer.

We Really Like Mullen Group's Dividend

Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Mullen Group might even raise payments in the future. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Mullen Group (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.