Cargojet (TSX:CJT) Valuation in Focus as Leaders Prepare for Bloomberg Canadian Finance Conference

Anticipation is building as Cargojet (TSX:CJT) prepares to participate in the upcoming Bloomberg Canadian Finance Conference on October 7. Founder and Executive Chairman Ajay Kumar Virmani is scheduled to speak at the event. Industry watchers often look to these conferences for insights into a company’s direction, performance, and evolving strategy.

See our latest analysis for Cargojet.

Cargojet’s latest moves come as its share price has struggled, falling nearly 20% since the start of the year and extending a broader downtrend, with a 1-year total shareholder return of -33.8% and a hefty 60% drop over five years. Momentum has clearly faded, which reflects concerns around the company’s outlook. However, this also presents a potential entry point for value-focused investors as management prepares to address the market’s questions at the upcoming conference.

If Cargojet’s current story has you looking for more opportunities, now could be the perfect moment to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With shares hovering near multi-year lows and trading well below analysts’ targets, is the market overlooking Cargojet’s value, or are current prices simply reflecting the challenges ahead? Could this be the window for a contrarian buy, or is caution warranted?

Most Popular Narrative: 40% Undervalued

The market price for Cargojet remains far below the fair value estimate in the most widely followed narrative, hinting at a major disconnect. This sets up the question: are fundamentals being overlooked as key deals and modernization efforts continue?

Renewal and extension of long-term contracts with major partners Amazon (to potentially 2031) and DHL (to potentially 2037, with growth-oriented incentives) enhance future revenue visibility and position Cargojet to benefit further as these global customers expand, potentially supporting multi-year top line growth and greater earnings predictability.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know just how bold the financial projections are behind that eye-catching fair value? The secret is a unique blend of future growth and a premium profit multiple that stands apart from the sector. Find out which assumptions power this valuation and why analysts believe Cargojet’s recovery might outpace expectations. Dive in to uncover the exact data fueling this big number.

Result: Fair Value of $144.83 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, sustained weakness in key international routes or a shift in terms with major partners could quickly challenge the optimistic view on Cargojet’s future.

Find out about the key risks to this Cargojet narrative.

Build Your Own Cargojet Narrative

If you see Cargojet’s story unfolding differently or want to dig into the numbers firsthand, you can easily craft your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Cargojet research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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