Stock Analysis

Algoma Central (TSE:ALC) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.18

TSX:ALC
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Algoma Central Corporation (TSE:ALC) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.18 per share on the 1st of December. This payment means the dividend yield will be 4.9%, which is below the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Algoma Central

Algoma Central's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Algoma Central's dividend was only 27% of earnings, however it was paying out 130% of free cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.

EPS is set to grow by 19.1% over the next year if recent trends continue. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 75% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
TSX:ALC Historic Dividend November 9th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was CA$0.28, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.72. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.9% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Algoma Central might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Algoma Central has impressed us by growing EPS at 19% per year over the past five years. Algoma Central definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Algoma Central that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.