There wouldn't be many who think Total Telcom Inc.'s (CVE:TTZ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Canada is similar at about 14x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For example, consider that Total Telcom's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Total Telcom
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Total Telcom will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Total Telcom's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Total Telcom would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 48% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Total Telcom is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Total Telcom revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Total Telcom (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Total Telcom's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Total Telcom might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:TTZ
Total Telcom
Through its subsidiary, ROM Communications Inc., develops and provides remote asset monitoring and tracking products and services in the United States and Canada.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.