Stock Analysis

Further weakness as Vecima Networks (TSE:VCM) drops 11% this week, taking three-year losses to 26%

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Vecima Networks Inc. (TSE:VCM) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 29% in three years, versus a market return of about 22%. It's down 34% in about a quarter.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Check out our latest analysis for Vecima Networks

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Vecima Networks became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

The modest 1.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 25% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Vecima Networks further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:VCM Earnings and Revenue Growth February 8th 2025

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Vecima Networks will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Vecima Networks' TSR for the last 3 years was -26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 22% in the last year, Vecima Networks shareholders lost 17% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Vecima Networks has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course Vecima Networks may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:VCM

Vecima Networks

Engages in the development of integrated hardware and software solutions for broadband access, content delivery, and telematics.

Very undervalued with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients Ā·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace Ā·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
25 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle Ā·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
48 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

GA
BUKS logo
GaryB on Butler National Ā·

Butler National (Buks) outperforms.

Fair Value:US$3.4419.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
AVGO logo
oscargarcia on Broadcom Ā·

A tech powerhouse quietly powering the world’s AI infrastructure.

Fair Value:US$48025.0% undervalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AB
AbraxasAether
AJBU logo
AbraxasAether on Keppel DC REIT Ā·

Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU) is a resilient gem in the data center space.

Fair Value:S$2.613.5% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision Ā·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining Ā·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA Ā·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
966 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative