Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Realia Properties Inc. (CVE:RLP) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Realia Properties
How Much Debt Does Realia Properties Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Realia Properties had debt of CA$44.1m, up from CA$33.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$3.76m, its net debt is less, at about CA$40.3m.
A Look At Realia Properties' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Realia Properties had liabilities of CA$1.98m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$43.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$3.76m as well as receivables valued at CA$517.8k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$41.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$5.10m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Realia Properties would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.51 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 16.8 hit our confidence in Realia Properties like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Realia Properties's EBIT was down 37% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Realia Properties's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Realia Properties actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
To be frank both Realia Properties's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Realia Properties has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Realia Properties is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those are a bit concerning...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:RLP
Realia Properties
Engages in the ownership of real property interests in the United States.
Slight and slightly overvalued.