Stock Analysis

Auxly Cannabis Group Inc. (TSE:XLY) Stock Rockets 33% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

TSX:XLY
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The Auxly Cannabis Group Inc. (TSE:XLY) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Auxly Cannabis Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Auxly Cannabis Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:XLY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Has Auxly Cannabis Group Performed Recently?

Auxly Cannabis Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Auxly Cannabis Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Auxly Cannabis Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Auxly Cannabis Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 213% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.6% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 4.5% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Auxly Cannabis Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Auxly Cannabis Group's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems Auxly Cannabis Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Auxly Cannabis Group has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Auxly Cannabis Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.