Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Snipp Interactive Inc. (CVE:SPN) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

TSXV:SPN
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Snipp Interactive Inc. (CVE:SPN) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Snipp Interactive's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Media industry in Canada is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Snipp Interactive

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:SPN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024

How Snipp Interactive Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Snipp Interactive's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Snipp Interactive's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Snipp Interactive would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 162% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.3% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2%.

With this information, we find it concerning that Snipp Interactive is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Snipp Interactive appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our check of Snipp Interactive's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Having said that, be aware Snipp Interactive is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Snipp Interactive, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.