David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Gensource Potash Corporation (CVE:GSP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Gensource Potash
What Is Gensource Potash's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Gensource Potash had CA$5.93m of debt, an increase on CA$5.37m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Gensource Potash's Balance Sheet?
According to the balance sheet data, Gensource Potash had liabilities of CA$12.0m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting this, it had CA$24.0k in cash and CA$224.7k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$11.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Gensource Potash has a market capitalization of CA$27.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gensource Potash will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Given it has no significant operating revenue at the moment, shareholders will be hoping Gensource Potash can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Gensource Potash had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CA$2.0m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$975k in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gensource Potash (of which 3 are concerning!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:GSP
Slight and overvalued.