Why Supremex Inc. (TSE:SXP) Could Be Worth Watching

Supremex Inc. (TSE:SXP), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSX, rising to highs of CA$4.49 and falling to the lows of CA$3.60. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Supremex's current trading price of CA$3.87 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Supremex’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Supremex

What Is Supremex Worth?

Great news for investors – Supremex is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. we find that Supremex’s ratio of 4.29x is below its peer average of 12.15x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Forestry industry. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Supremex’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Supremex look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an expected decline of -5.4% in revenues over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Supremex. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although SXP is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. We recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to SXP, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SXP for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Supremex at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Supremex and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Supremex, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.