Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that PolyMet Mining Corp. (TSE:POM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for PolyMet Mining
What Is PolyMet Mining's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 PolyMet Mining had debt of US$52.4m, up from US$34.7m in one year. However, it does have US$7.49m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$44.9m.
A Look At PolyMet Mining's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that PolyMet Mining had liabilities of US$23.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$88.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$7.49m and US$352.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$103.3m.
PolyMet Mining has a market capitalization of US$292.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since PolyMet Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since PolyMet Mining has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, PolyMet Mining had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$15m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$19m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example PolyMet Mining has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:POM
PolyMet Mining
PolyMet Mining Corp., through its subsidiary, Poly Met Mining, Inc., engages in the exploration and development of natural resource properties.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.