Stock Analysis

Is Orvana Minerals (TSE:ORV) Using Debt Sensibly?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Orvana Minerals Corp. (TSE:ORV) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Orvana Minerals

What Is Orvana Minerals's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Orvana Minerals had US$14.1m of debt in December 2023, down from US$18.8m, one year before. However, it does have US$3.86m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$10.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ORV Debt to Equity History March 5th 2024

How Strong Is Orvana Minerals' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Orvana Minerals had liabilities of US$36.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$26.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$3.86m as well as receivables valued at US$2.45m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$56.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$12.1m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Orvana Minerals would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Orvana Minerals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Orvana Minerals wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 5.8%, to US$96m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Orvana Minerals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$520k at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost US$4.6m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Orvana Minerals you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:ORV

Orvana Minerals

A mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of gold, copper, silver, and other precious and base metal deposits.

Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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