Hudbay Minerals Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
Hudbay Minerals has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 77.4%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 21.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 12.2% per year. Hudbay Minerals's return on equity is 16.4%, and it has net margins of 27.7%.
Key information
77.39%
Earnings growth rate
74.64%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 27.39% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.17% |
| Return on equity | 16.43% |
| Net Margin | 27.74% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 24
HBM: Copper Upside Will Hinge On Execution Of New Share Repurchases
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Hudbay Minerals higher, with the updated implied price target rising by about CA$1.77 as they factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, while keeping the discount rate and margin expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hudbay Minerals offers a mix of optimism around sector trends and company specific potential, alongside some caution on execution and valuation.Analysis Article • Jun 16
Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM) Stock Could Be 6.4% Undervalued After 5% Buyback Approval
Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM) has moved into focus after securing Toronto Stock Exchange approval for a normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 5% of its common shares using cash flow from operations. See our latest analysis for Hudbay Minerals. Against this buyback backdrop, Hudbay Minerals has seen strong momentum, with a 90 day share price return of 38.59% and a one year total shareholder return of 196.82%. This indicates that recent gains build on already very large longer term...Narrative Update • Jun 06
HBM: Copper Upside Will Depend On Execution Of New Share Buyback Plan
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Hudbay Minerals higher to CA$43.00 from CA$41.34, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after recent price target moves around the stock, including fresh Overweight ratings in broader sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has focused on where Hudbay Minerals fits within broader metals and mining themes, as well as how its valuation compares with sector peers.Narrative Update • Apr 23
HBM: Copper Upside Will Rely On Arizona Sonoran Deal Execution
Analysts have nudged their Hudbay Minerals price targets higher by CA$4 to CA$13 in recent reports, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and a constructive view on the planned Arizona Sonoran Copper acquisition as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage around Hudbay Minerals clusters around two main themes: updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and the planned acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper.Narrative Update • Apr 08
HBM: Copper Upside Will Depend On Arizona Sonoran Copper Acquisition
Analysts have slightly trimmed the fair value estimate for Hudbay Minerals, with the updated implied price target moving from about CA$41.74 to roughly CA$41.35 as they factor in higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and recent research highlighting both increased copper price assumptions and the pending acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hudbay Minerals has centered on updated metal price assumptions, higher copper price views, and the impact of the planned acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper.Narrative Update • Mar 24
HBM: Copper Expansion Will Depend On Arizona Sonoran Acquisition And New Ingerbelle Permits
Hudbay Minerals' fair value estimate has shifted higher to CA$41.74 from CA$40.67 as analysts factor in revised metal price assumptions, modestly stronger revenue growth and margins, a lower future P/E, and the planned acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper at CA$9.35 per share, as reflected in a series of recent price target updates and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Hudbay Minerals centers on updated metal price assumptions, the proposed Arizona Sonoran Copper acquisition at CA$9.35 per share, and revised outlooks for growth and capital allocation.Narrative Update • Mar 09
HBM: Copper Expansion Will Rely On Arizona Sonoran Acquisition Execution
Analysts have lifted their Hudbay Minerals fair value estimate from CA$37.95 to CA$40.67, as they refresh assumptions on margins, P/E and metal price forecasts, and factor in the Arizona Sonoran Copper acquisition alongside a range of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Hudbay Minerals clusters around two main themes: the Arizona Sonoran Copper acquisition and refreshed views on copper pricing, with both feeding directly into updated targets and ratings.Narrative Update • Feb 23
HBM: Future Returns Will Balance Copper Expansion Progress And Long Dated Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their Hudbay Minerals price target by about CA$2, supported by updated assumptions that reflect a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly reduced revenue growth outlook, stronger expected profit margins, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hudbay Minerals shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.Narrative Update • Feb 06
HBM: Future Returns Will Reflect Copper Expansion And Long Dated Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Hudbay Minerals from about $32.92 to roughly $36.19. The change reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple informed by recent research that includes several price target increases and a downgrade.
New Narrative • Jan 31
Copper World Risks And Cost Pressures Will Weigh On Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Hudbay Minerals Hudbay Minerals is a diversified Americas focused mining company producing copper, gold and other metals from operations in Canada, Peru and British Columbia, with a large growth project at Copper World in the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 23
HBM: Future Returns Will Reflect Critical Status And Long Dated Copper Execution Risks
Hudbay Minerals' analyst price targets have moved higher, with the fair value estimate rising by about $5 to $32.92, as analysts factor in updated growth and profitability assumptions, alongside a series of recent Buy ratings and target hikes from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hudbay Minerals has centered on refreshed models, higher price targets in both Canadian dollars and U.S. dollars, and new or resumed positive coverage.Narrative Update • Jan 08
HBM: Future Returns Will Reflect Critical Copper Status And Execution Risks
Narrative Update: Hudbay Minerals The analyst price target for Hudbay Minerals edges higher in our model from $27.36 to $27.77, reflecting analysts' updated views on the company's diversified copper profile, refreshed metals price forecasts, and recent rounds of price target increases across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hudbay Minerals centers on higher price targets in both U.S. dollar and Canadian dollar terms, alongside views on its copper exposure and project pipeline.Analysis Article • Jan 08
Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s (TSE:HBM) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
It's not a stretch to say that Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s ( TSE:HBM ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.2x right now...Narrative Update • Dec 20
HBM: Future Returns Will Reflect Critical Copper Status Amid Macro Uncertainty
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Hudbay Minerals to approximately $27.36 from about $26.90, reflecting updated models that factor in recent Q3 results, refreshed metals price forecasts, and a more constructive long term outlook, despite a challenging macro backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a broadly constructive stance on Hudbay Minerals, with a series of price target increases in both U.S. dollar and Canadian dollar terms.Narrative Update • Dec 06
HBM: Future Returns Will Benefit From Critical Copper And Gold Cash Flow
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Hudbay Minerals, increasing it from approximately $26.20 to $26.90 per share, citing refreshed metals price forecasts, resilient demand in North America and Europe, and improved free cash flow and margin expectations despite a challenging macro backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a firmly constructive stance on Hudbay Minerals, with multiple bullish analysts lifting their price targets and reiterating positive ratings as they update models for commodity price assumptions and recent operating results.Narrative Update • Nov 22
HBM: Future Returns Will Benefit From Critical Minerals Sector Momentum
Hudbay Minerals’ analyst price target has risen to approximately $26.20 from $25.13, reflecting analysts’ increased expectations for revenue growth and profit margins following recent quarterly results and revised commodities forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has seen analysts significantly raise their price targets for Hudbay Minerals, reflecting optimistic assessments regarding the company’s financial trajectory, market exposure, and commodity price tailwinds.Narrative Update • Nov 08
HBM: Future Performance Will Depend On Commodity Prices And Project Execution
Hudbay Minerals' analyst price target has been raised from approximately $24.31 to $25.13. Analysts cite stronger commodity price forecasts and improved growth expectations as key drivers of the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 25
Copper And Gold Upside Will Drive Stronger Returns Amid Expanding Output
The analyst price target for Hudbay Minerals has increased from $21.79 to $24.31. This reflects analyst optimism around expected higher gold and silver prices, along with improved growth and margin assumptions.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Mitsubishi Collaboration And Copper World Will Expand North American Production
Hudbay Minerals' analyst price target has increased markedly, rising from C$19.25 to C$21.79. Analysts cite stronger commodity exposure and improved cash flow prospects as key factors supporting a more optimistic outlook.Narrative Update • Sep 27
Mitsubishi Collaboration And Copper World Will Expand North American Production
Analysts have raised Hudbay Minerals' price target from CA$18.62 to CA$19.25, citing greater confidence in management’s growth strategy, robust gold and copper exposure, and expectations for strong free cash flow amid improving operational execution and favorable commodity price trends. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Hudbay Minerals' strong exposure to gold and copper, commodities with favorable outlooks, especially in stable jurisdictions.Narrative Update • Sep 12
Mitsubishi Collaboration And Copper World Will Expand North American Production
Hudbay Minerals’ consensus price target has risen to CA$18.62 as analysts become more bullish due to the company’s attractive gold and copper exposure, improved operational performance, and robust free cash flow outlook, underpinned by favorable commodity prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Hudbay’s diversified commodity exposure, particularly to gold (viewed favorably in the current macro environment) and copper in stable jurisdictions.Narrative Update • Aug 16
Mitsubishi Collaboration And Copper World Will Expand North American Production
Hudbay Minerals’ analyst target price has been revised upward from CA$16.81 to CA$17.87, primarily due to improved copper price outlooks, stronger operational performance, progress on debt reduction and resource expansion, and continued cost discipline. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved copper price outlooks as a key factor driving higher price targets.
New Narrative • Feb 20
Advancement Of Copper World Project Will Significantly Boost Future Copper Production
Exploration and optimization efforts in key regions could extend mineralization, stabilize production, and positively impact future revenues and earnings.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Hudbay Minerals makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 2,373 | 659 | 166 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 2,211 | 569 | 143 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 2,063 | 462 | 122 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,202 | 289 | 104 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,091 | 155 | 99 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,021 | 77 | 100 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,038 | 86 | 101 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,033 | 82 | 92 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,920 | 83 | 81 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,690 | 66 | 69 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 1,409 | 18 | 62 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 1,275 | -35 | 59 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 1,378 | 12 | 56 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 1,461 | 70 | 69 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,565 | 77 | 80 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,578 | -85 | 84 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,567 | -120 | 96 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,502 | -244 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,399 | -226 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,356 | -80 | 75 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,161 | -129 | 65 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,092 | -145 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,095 | -153 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,070 | -404 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,190 | -407 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,237 | -344 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,265 | -346 | 66 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,336 | -48 | 68 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,378 | 31 | 63 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,472 | 85 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,545 | 183 | 62 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,562 | 197 | 65 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,527 | 191 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,402 | 140 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,295 | -2 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,226 | -5 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 1,137 | -29 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 1,129 | -35 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 1,149 | -243 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 1,107 | -289 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,011 | -327 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 886 | -331 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 662 | -32 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 563 | 26 | 54 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: HBM has a large one-off gain of $439.5M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: HBM's current net profit margins (27.7%) are higher than last year (7.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HBM has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 77.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: HBM's earnings growth over the past year (325.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (77.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: HBM earnings growth over the past year (325.4%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 129.4%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: HBM's Return on Equity (16.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 19:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Hudbay Minerals Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Harriet Li | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Stefan Ioannou | ATB Cormark |
| Farooq Hamed | Barclays |