Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSE:HBM) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Hudbay Minerals's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hudbay Minerals had debt of US$1.17b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$1.38b over a year. However, it does have US$483.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$682.6m.
How Strong Is Hudbay Minerals' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hudbay Minerals had liabilities of US$505.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.36b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$483.3m as well as receivables valued at US$247.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.14b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$3.25b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hudbay Minerals' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Hudbay Minerals's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.81 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.9 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Pleasingly, Hudbay Minerals is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 109% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hudbay Minerals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hudbay Minerals recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
The good news is that Hudbay Minerals's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Hudbay Minerals can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Hudbay Minerals you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:HBM
Hudbay Minerals
A diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.