Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Fortune Minerals Limited (TSE:FT) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Fortune Minerals
What Is Fortune Minerals's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Fortune Minerals had CA$8.68m of debt in June 2023, down from CA$13.7m, one year before. However, it also had CA$442.4k in cash, and so its net debt is CA$8.24m.
How Strong Is Fortune Minerals' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fortune Minerals had liabilities of CA$9.15m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$280.3k due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$442.4k as well as receivables valued at CA$30.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$8.96m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$14.3m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Fortune Minerals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Since Fortune Minerals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Fortune Minerals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$1.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$1.5m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Fortune Minerals is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 4 of those don't sit too well with us...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FT
Fortune Minerals
Engages in the exploration and development of specialty metals, base metals, and precious metals in Canada.
Medium-low with weak fundamentals.