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China Gold International Resources (TSE:CGG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd. (TSE:CGG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for China Gold International Resources
What Is China Gold International Resources's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Gold International Resources had debt of US$881.7m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from US$1.07b over a year. However, it does have US$399.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$481.9m.
A Look At China Gold International Resources' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Gold International Resources had liabilities of US$666.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$648.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$399.8m and US$9.27m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$906.4m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.19b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on China Gold International Resources' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
China Gold International Resources's net debt is only 0.96 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that China Gold International Resources has increased its EBIT by 5.3% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Gold International Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, China Gold International Resources generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 99% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Happily, China Gold International Resources's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that China Gold International Resources can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for China Gold International Resources you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CGG
China Gold International Resources
A gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores for, develops, and mines mineral properties in the People’s Republic of China.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.