Centerra Gold Inc.

TSX:CG Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$4.7b

Centerra Gold Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 3/6

Centerra Gold is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 1.16% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

1.2%

Dividend yield

2.7%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield3.9%
Future Dividend Yield1.3%
Dividend Growth8.1%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio7%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Aug 10
Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Recent updates

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Struggle To Offset Execution Risk

Analysts have revised the average price target on Centerra Gold to CA$21.59 from CA$22.00, reflecting updated assumptions on metal prices, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold shows a mix of updated price targets and rating changes as analysts refresh their metal price assumptions for 2026 and reassess valuation and execution risks.

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Face Risk From P/E Support

Narrative Update Analysts have raised the CA$ fair value estimate for Centerra Gold from CA$17.55 to CA$22.00, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026, along with refreshed expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as the key factors behind the higher price targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centerra Gold has centered on recalibrated metal price forecasts for 2026, which feed directly into updated fair value estimates and price targets.

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Drive Future Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Centerra Gold higher, pointing to updated metal price assumptions, refreshed forecasts for revenue growth and margins, and a series of recent CA$ price target increases from major firms as the key drivers behind the new CA$32.42 fair value estimate, up from CA$31.40. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Centerra Gold reflects a mix of optimism on valuation upside and caution on execution risk, with several firms adjusting price targets following updated metal price assumptions for 2026.

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Power

Our updated work on Centerra Gold reflects a higher analyst price target of CA$31.40, up from CA$21.47, as analysts refresh their models following a series of Street target revisions tied to revised metal price assumptions and updated P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold clusters around a wave of target price adjustments tied to refreshed metal price forecasts and updated P/E assumptions.

CG: Higher Earnings Assumptions Will Face Risk From Lower Future P/E

Our updated Narrative price target for Centerra Gold moves from CA$9.48 to CA$17.55, reflecting analysts' higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade across several Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of higher price targets for Centerra Gold across several banks, but not all of the commentary is unreservedly positive.

CG: Higher-Priced Core Assets And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has been raised from $27.93 to $40.15 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around higher modeled revenue growth, a different profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E, supported by a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Centerra Gold have been revisiting their models and adjusting price targets higher, reflecting updated views on revenue potential, profit margins, and the valuation multiples they are willing to use.

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Exploration Earn In And Share Buyback

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has ticked higher by about C$0.25, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, modest tweaks to discount and growth assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple as key supports for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets, including the recent C$16.75 level, see room for the shares to better reflect updated fair value estimates.

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Project Expansion And Ongoing Share Buybacks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centerra Gold higher from C$18.53 to C$20.54. This move aligns with a recent Street price target change to C$16.75, as they update assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E levels.

Improved Earnings Required Before Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

Dec 23
Improved Earnings Required Before Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

CG: Share Buybacks Will Support Upside As Core Assets Deliver

Analysts have raised their price target on Centerra Gold from about $15.00 to roughly $27.93, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly slower growth and margins, and a higher expected future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently highlighted a constructive outlook on Centerra Gold, pointing to resilient asset performance and improved earnings visibility as key supports for higher valuation.

CG: Investment Projects And Share Buybacks Will Balance Risks In The Year Ahead

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Centerra Gold, raising it to C$16.75 from C$16.50. They cite steady revenue growth and the company’s ongoing investment phase as key factors in their assessment.

CG: Share Buyback And Expansions Will Balance Investment Risks Ahead

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has moved slightly higher to $18.48. This reflects a more positive outlook from analysts as they weigh improved revenue growth and margin forecasts against ongoing operational and investment challenges.

CG: Investment Phase And Production Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target increased from $16.59 to $18.41. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations according to recent analyst updates.

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has recently shifted by approximately 13 percent, with analysts attributing the revision to a mixed outlook on core operations and expectations for project investments. This is reflected in a new average estimate of $9.50 to C$14 per share.

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has shifted upward to $14.62 from $13.47, as analysts cite a balanced outlook that reflects both ongoing investment projects and evolving asset performance across the company’s portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage reveals divided perspectives on Centerra Gold's current positioning and future trajectory.

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Analysts have raised Centerra Gold’s price target from CA$12.57 to CA$13.47 on optimism about its undervalued project pipeline and longer-term growth opportunities, though near-term cash flow and production concerns remain. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight deep value and potential upside from Centerra’s significant project pipeline, including Thompson Creek, Goldfield, and Kemess.

Earnings Tell The Story For Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) As Its Stock Soars 27%

Sep 09
Earnings Tell The Story For Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) As Its Stock Soars 27%

Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Aug 10
Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

May 14
Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Centerra Gold Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think

May 08
Centerra Gold Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think
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Mount Milligan's Future Expansion May Enhance Revenue, But Cost Pressures Could Impact Margins

Long-term operations and strategic evaluations at Mount Milligan and Goldfield could enhance future earnings and revenue potential.

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Earnings

May 22
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Earnings

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG)

Apr 05
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG)

Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

Mar 15
Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: CG's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: CG's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Centerra Gold Dividend Yield vs Market
How does CG dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (CG)1.2%
Market Bottom 25% (CA)1.6%
Market Top 25% (CA)5.4%
Industry Average (Metals and Mining)1.3%
Analyst forecast (CG) (up to 3 years)1.3%

Notable Dividend: CG's dividend (1.16%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (1.63%).

High Dividend: CG's dividend (1.16%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (5.45%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (6.6%), CG's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (29.8%), CG's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 12:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centerra Gold Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Raj RayBMO Capital Markets Equity Research