Centerra Gold Inc.

TSX:CG Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$4.5b

Centerra Gold Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 5/6

Centerra Gold has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 5.3%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 18.3% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11.8% per year. Centerra Gold's return on equity is 30.2%, and it has net margins of 40.3%.

Key information

5.35%

Earnings growth rate

17.23%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth27.39%
Revenue growth rate11.80%
Return on equity30.18%
Net Margin40.32%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article May 08

Shareholders In Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story

The latest earnings release from Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) disappointed investors. Our analysis found several...

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 08

Shareholders In Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story

The latest earnings release from Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) disappointed investors. Our analysis found several...
Narrative Update Apr 30

CG: Higher Metal Price Decks And Cash Generation Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the CA$ price target on Centerra Gold higher, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Centerra Gold, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models after updating long term metal price forecasts and reworking assumptions on revenue, margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Apr 15

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Struggle To Offset Execution Risk

Analysts have revised the average price target on Centerra Gold to CA$21.59 from CA$22.00, reflecting updated assumptions on metal prices, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold shows a mix of updated price targets and rating changes as analysts refresh their metal price assumptions for 2026 and reassess valuation and execution risks.
Narrative Update Apr 01

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Face Risk From P/E Support

Narrative Update Analysts have raised the CA$ fair value estimate for Centerra Gold from CA$17.55 to CA$22.00, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026, along with refreshed expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as the key factors behind the higher price targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centerra Gold has centered on recalibrated metal price forecasts for 2026, which feed directly into updated fair value estimates and price targets.
Narrative Update Mar 18

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Drive Future Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Centerra Gold higher, pointing to updated metal price assumptions, refreshed forecasts for revenue growth and margins, and a series of recent CA$ price target increases from major firms as the key drivers behind the new CA$32.42 fair value estimate, up from CA$31.40. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Centerra Gold reflects a mix of optimism on valuation upside and caution on execution risk, with several firms adjusting price targets following updated metal price assumptions for 2026.
Narrative Update Mar 04

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Power

Our updated work on Centerra Gold reflects a higher analyst price target of CA$31.40, up from CA$21.47, as analysts refresh their models following a series of Street target revisions tied to revised metal price assumptions and updated P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold clusters around a wave of target price adjustments tied to refreshed metal price forecasts and updated P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 17

CG: Higher Earnings Assumptions Will Face Risk From Lower Future P/E

Our updated Narrative price target for Centerra Gold moves from CA$9.48 to CA$17.55, reflecting analysts' higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade across several Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of higher price targets for Centerra Gold across several banks, but not all of the commentary is unreservedly positive.
Narrative Update Feb 03

CG: Higher-Priced Core Assets And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has been raised from $27.93 to $40.15 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around higher modeled revenue growth, a different profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E, supported by a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Centerra Gold have been revisiting their models and adjusting price targets higher, reflecting updated views on revenue potential, profit margins, and the valuation multiples they are willing to use.
Narrative Update Jan 20

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Exploration Earn In And Share Buyback

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has ticked higher by about C$0.25, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, modest tweaks to discount and growth assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple as key supports for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets, including the recent C$16.75 level, see room for the shares to better reflect updated fair value estimates.
Narrative Update Jan 06

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Project Expansion And Ongoing Share Buybacks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centerra Gold higher from C$18.53 to C$20.54. This move aligns with a recent Street price target change to C$16.75, as they update assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E levels.
Analysis Article Dec 23

Improved Earnings Required Before Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

Despite an already strong run, Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the...
Narrative Update Dec 14

CG: Share Buybacks Will Support Upside As Core Assets Deliver

Analysts have raised their price target on Centerra Gold from about $15.00 to roughly $27.93, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly slower growth and margins, and a higher expected future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently highlighted a constructive outlook on Centerra Gold, pointing to resilient asset performance and improved earnings visibility as key supports for higher valuation.
Narrative Update Nov 30

CG: Investment Projects And Share Buybacks Will Balance Risks In The Year Ahead

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Centerra Gold, raising it to C$16.75 from C$16.50. They cite steady revenue growth and the company’s ongoing investment phase as key factors in their assessment.
Narrative Update Nov 16

CG: Share Buyback And Expansions Will Balance Investment Risks Ahead

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has moved slightly higher to $18.48. This reflects a more positive outlook from analysts as they weigh improved revenue growth and margin forecasts against ongoing operational and investment challenges.
Narrative Update Nov 01

CG: Investment Phase And Production Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target increased from $16.59 to $18.41. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations according to recent analyst updates.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has recently shifted by approximately 13 percent, with analysts attributing the revision to a mixed outlook on core operations and expectations for project investments. This is reflected in a new average estimate of $9.50 to C$14 per share.
Narrative Update Oct 04

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has shifted upward to $14.62 from $13.47, as analysts cite a balanced outlook that reflects both ongoing investment projects and evolving asset performance across the company’s portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage reveals divided perspectives on Centerra Gold's current positioning and future trajectory.
Narrative Update Sep 14

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Analysts have raised Centerra Gold’s price target from CA$12.57 to CA$13.47 on optimism about its undervalued project pipeline and longer-term growth opportunities, though near-term cash flow and production concerns remain. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight deep value and potential upside from Centerra’s significant project pipeline, including Thompson Creek, Goldfield, and Kemess.
Analysis Article Sep 09

Earnings Tell The Story For Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) As Its Stock Soars 27%

The Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27...
Analysis Article Aug 10

Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.07 per share on the 4th of September. The...
Analysis Article May 14

Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Centerra Gold Inc.'s ( TSE:CG ) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. We think...
Analysis Article May 08

Centerra Gold Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to CA$10.08...
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New Narrative Feb 19

Mount Milligan's Future Expansion May Enhance Revenue, But Cost Pressures Could Impact Margins

Long-term operations and strategic evaluations at Mount Milligan and Goldfield could enhance future earnings and revenue potential.
Analysis Article May 22

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Earnings

Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. Our analysis...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Centerra Gold makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:CG Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 261,5706331300
31 Dec 251,3855841110
30 Sep 251,285339930
30 Jun 251,21475890
31 Mar 251,208441010
31 Dec 241,215801090
30 Sep 241,2521041160
30 Jun 241,2721361120
31 Mar 241,174591120
31 Dec 231,095-811200
30 Sep 23963-1831270
30 Jun 23798-2771330
31 Mar 23782-2401260
31 Dec 22850-771140
30 Sep 22893328930
30 Jun 22935389760
31 Mar 22969425650
31 Dec 21900447530
30 Sep 21861204650
30 Jun 21892258670
31 Mar 21819193770
31 Dec 2072116770
30 Sep 20822-28740
30 Jun 20959-275820
31 Mar 201,169-209810
31 Dec 191,375-94910
30 Sep 191,454-32830
30 Jun 191,325149730
31 Mar 191,228153670
31 Dec 181,129113640
30 Sep 181,096197650
30 Jun 181,113220680
31 Mar 181,149206660
31 Dec 171,199252670
30 Sep 171,147183630
30 Jun 171,089211600
31 Mar 17970190600
31 Dec 16758152550
30 Sep 1660085570
30 Jun 164980570
31 Mar 1648519590
31 Dec 1562442650
30 Sep 1583633730
30 Jun 1585548740

Quality Earnings: CG has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: CG's current net profit margins (40.3%) are higher than last year (3.7%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: CG's earnings have grown by 5.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: CG's earnings growth over the past year (1325%) exceeds its 5-year average (5.3% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: CG earnings growth over the past year (1325%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 119.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: CG's Return on Equity (30.2%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 02:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centerra Gold Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Raj RayBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research