Centerra Gold Past Earnings Performance
We're still processing the latest earnings report of this company
Past criteria checks 4/6
Centerra Gold's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -4.8%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 19.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11.1% per year. Centerra Gold's return on equity is 28.4%, and it has net margins of 42.2%.
Key information
-4.75%
Earnings growth rate
6.76%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 27.39% |
| Revenue growth rate | 11.07% |
| Return on equity | 28.35% |
| Net Margin | 42.18% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
CG: Higher Metal Price Decks And Cash Generation Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged the CA$ price target on Centerra Gold higher, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Centerra Gold, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models after updating long term metal price forecasts and reworking assumptions on revenue, margins and future P/E multiples.
CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Struggle To Offset Execution Risk
Analysts have revised the average price target on Centerra Gold to CA$21.59 from CA$22.00, reflecting updated assumptions on metal prices, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold shows a mix of updated price targets and rating changes as analysts refresh their metal price assumptions for 2026 and reassess valuation and execution risks.CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Face Risk From P/E Support
Narrative Update Analysts have raised the CA$ fair value estimate for Centerra Gold from CA$17.55 to CA$22.00, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026, along with refreshed expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as the key factors behind the higher price targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centerra Gold has centered on recalibrated metal price forecasts for 2026, which feed directly into updated fair value estimates and price targets.
CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Drive Future Cash Flow Upside
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Centerra Gold higher, pointing to updated metal price assumptions, refreshed forecasts for revenue growth and margins, and a series of recent CA$ price target increases from major firms as the key drivers behind the new CA$32.42 fair value estimate, up from CA$31.40. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Centerra Gold reflects a mix of optimism on valuation upside and caution on execution risk, with several firms adjusting price targets following updated metal price assumptions for 2026.CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Power
Our updated work on Centerra Gold reflects a higher analyst price target of CA$31.40, up from CA$21.47, as analysts refresh their models following a series of Street target revisions tied to revised metal price assumptions and updated P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold clusters around a wave of target price adjustments tied to refreshed metal price forecasts and updated P/E assumptions.CG: Higher Earnings Assumptions Will Face Risk From Lower Future P/E
Our updated Narrative price target for Centerra Gold moves from CA$9.48 to CA$17.55, reflecting analysts' higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade across several Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of higher price targets for Centerra Gold across several banks, but not all of the commentary is unreservedly positive.CG: Higher-Priced Core Assets And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has been raised from $27.93 to $40.15 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around higher modeled revenue growth, a different profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E, supported by a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Centerra Gold have been revisiting their models and adjusting price targets higher, reflecting updated views on revenue potential, profit margins, and the valuation multiples they are willing to use.CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Exploration Earn In And Share Buyback
The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has ticked higher by about C$0.25, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, modest tweaks to discount and growth assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple as key supports for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets, including the recent C$16.75 level, see room for the shares to better reflect updated fair value estimates.CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Project Expansion And Ongoing Share Buybacks
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centerra Gold higher from C$18.53 to C$20.54. This move aligns with a recent Street price target change to C$16.75, as they update assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E levels.Improved Earnings Required Before Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified
Dec 23
CG: Share Buybacks Will Support Upside As Core Assets Deliver
Analysts have raised their price target on Centerra Gold from about $15.00 to roughly $27.93, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly slower growth and margins, and a higher expected future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently highlighted a constructive outlook on Centerra Gold, pointing to resilient asset performance and improved earnings visibility as key supports for higher valuation.CG: Investment Projects And Share Buybacks Will Balance Risks In The Year Ahead
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Centerra Gold, raising it to C$16.75 from C$16.50. They cite steady revenue growth and the company’s ongoing investment phase as key factors in their assessment.CG: Share Buyback And Expansions Will Balance Investment Risks Ahead
Centerra Gold's analyst price target has moved slightly higher to $18.48. This reflects a more positive outlook from analysts as they weigh improved revenue growth and margin forecasts against ongoing operational and investment challenges.CG: Investment Phase And Production Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
Centerra Gold's analyst price target increased from $16.59 to $18.41. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations according to recent analyst updates.Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential
Centerra Gold's analyst price target has recently shifted by approximately 13 percent, with analysts attributing the revision to a mixed outlook on core operations and expectations for project investments. This is reflected in a new average estimate of $9.50 to C$14 per share.Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential
Centerra Gold's analyst price target has shifted upward to $14.62 from $13.47, as analysts cite a balanced outlook that reflects both ongoing investment projects and evolving asset performance across the company’s portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage reveals divided perspectives on Centerra Gold's current positioning and future trajectory.Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential
Analysts have raised Centerra Gold’s price target from CA$12.57 to CA$13.47 on optimism about its undervalued project pipeline and longer-term growth opportunities, though near-term cash flow and production concerns remain. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight deep value and potential upside from Centerra’s significant project pipeline, including Thompson Creek, Goldfield, and Kemess.Earnings Tell The Story For Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) As Its Stock Soars 27%
Sep 09Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07
Aug 10Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
May 14Centerra Gold Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think
May 08
Mount Milligan's Future Expansion May Enhance Revenue, But Cost Pressures Could Impact Margins
Long-term operations and strategic evaluations at Mount Milligan and Goldfield could enhance future earnings and revenue potential.Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Earnings
May 22Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG)
Apr 05Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Mar 15Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Centerra Gold makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,385 | 584 | 111 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,285 | 339 | 93 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,214 | 75 | 89 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,215 | 80 | 109 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 1,252 | 104 | 116 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 1,272 | 136 | 112 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,174 | 59 | 112 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,095 | -81 | 120 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 963 | -183 | 127 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 798 | -277 | 133 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 782 | -240 | 126 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 850 | -77 | 114 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 893 | 328 | 93 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 935 | 389 | 76 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 969 | 425 | 65 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 900 | 447 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 861 | 204 | 65 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 892 | 258 | 67 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 819 | 193 | 77 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 721 | 16 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 822 | -28 | 74 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 959 | -275 | 82 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,169 | -209 | 81 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,375 | -94 | 91 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,454 | -32 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,325 | 149 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,228 | 153 | 67 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,129 | 113 | 64 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,096 | 197 | 65 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,113 | 220 | 68 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,149 | 206 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,199 | 252 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,147 | 183 | 63 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,089 | 211 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 970 | 190 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 758 | 152 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 600 | 85 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 498 | 0 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 485 | 19 | 59 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 624 | 42 | 65 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 836 | 33 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 855 | 48 | 74 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: CG has a large one-off gain of $122.3M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: CG's current net profit margins (42.2%) are higher than last year (6.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CG's earnings have declined by 4.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: CG's earnings growth over the past year (626.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (-4.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: CG earnings growth over the past year (626.4%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 101.4%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: CG's Return on Equity (28.4%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/04 08:47 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Centerra Gold Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Gray | ATB Cormark |
| Brian Quast | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Raj Ray | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |