Centerra Gold Inc.

TSX:CG Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$4.4b

Centerra Gold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Centerra Gold's earnings are forecast to decline at 8.3% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 13.1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 8.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.4% in 3 years.

Key information

-8.3%

Earnings growth rate

-8.77%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth17.3%
Revenue growth rate13.1%
Future return on equity15.43%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated08 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 19

CG: Higher Output And Buybacks Will Test Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their CA$ price target for Centerra Gold by CA$2, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that align with recent Street research. What’s in the News for Centerra Gold Centerra Gold reported gold production of 68,001 oz for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared with 59,379 oz for the same period a year earlier.
Narrative Update • Jun 04

CG: Exploration Progress And Capital Returns Will Test Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have raised their CA$ price target for Centerra Gold by about CA$0.81, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Kenorland Minerals has started its first diamond drilling program at the Western Wabigoon (W2) project in northwestern Ontario under an option agreement with a Centerra Gold subsidiary.
Analysis Article • May 08

Shareholders In Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story

The latest earnings release from Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) disappointed investors. Our analysis found several...
Narrative Update • Apr 30

CG: Higher Metal Price Decks And Cash Generation Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the CA$ price target on Centerra Gold higher, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Centerra Gold, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models after updating long term metal price forecasts and reworking assumptions on revenue, margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update • Apr 15

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Struggle To Offset Execution Risk

Analysts have revised the average price target on Centerra Gold to CA$21.59 from CA$22.00, reflecting updated assumptions on metal prices, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a steady forward P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold shows a mix of updated price targets and rating changes as analysts refresh their metal price assumptions for 2026 and reassess valuation and execution risks.
Narrative Update • Apr 01

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Face Risk From P/E Support

Narrative Update Analysts have raised the CA$ fair value estimate for Centerra Gold from CA$17.55 to CA$22.00, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026, along with refreshed expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as the key factors behind the higher price targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centerra Gold has centered on recalibrated metal price forecasts for 2026, which feed directly into updated fair value estimates and price targets.
Narrative Update • Mar 18

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Drive Future Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Centerra Gold higher, pointing to updated metal price assumptions, refreshed forecasts for revenue growth and margins, and a series of recent CA$ price target increases from major firms as the key drivers behind the new CA$32.42 fair value estimate, up from CA$31.40. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Centerra Gold reflects a mix of optimism on valuation upside and caution on execution risk, with several firms adjusting price targets following updated metal price assumptions for 2026.
Narrative Update • Mar 04

CG: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Power

Our updated work on Centerra Gold reflects a higher analyst price target of CA$31.40, up from CA$21.47, as analysts refresh their models following a series of Street target revisions tied to revised metal price assumptions and updated P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centerra Gold clusters around a wave of target price adjustments tied to refreshed metal price forecasts and updated P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

CG: Higher Earnings Assumptions Will Face Risk From Lower Future P/E

Our updated Narrative price target for Centerra Gold moves from CA$9.48 to CA$17.55, reflecting analysts' higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade across several Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of higher price targets for Centerra Gold across several banks, but not all of the commentary is unreservedly positive.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

CG: Higher-Priced Core Assets And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has been raised from $27.93 to $40.15 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around higher modeled revenue growth, a different profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E, supported by a series of recent target hikes and an upgrade from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Centerra Gold have been revisiting their models and adjusting price targets higher, reflecting updated views on revenue potential, profit margins, and the valuation multiples they are willing to use.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Exploration Earn In And Share Buyback

The analyst price target for Centerra Gold has ticked higher by about C$0.25, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, modest tweaks to discount and growth assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple as key supports for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets, including the recent C$16.75 level, see room for the shares to better reflect updated fair value estimates.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

CG: Fair Value Outlook Balances Project Expansion And Ongoing Share Buybacks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centerra Gold higher from C$18.53 to C$20.54. This move aligns with a recent Street price target change to C$16.75, as they update assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E levels.
Analysis Article • Dec 23

Improved Earnings Required Before Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

Despite an already strong run, Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the...
Narrative Update • Dec 14

CG: Share Buybacks Will Support Upside As Core Assets Deliver

Analysts have raised their price target on Centerra Gold from about $15.00 to roughly $27.93, reflecting updated views on discount rates, slightly slower growth and margins, and a higher expected future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently highlighted a constructive outlook on Centerra Gold, pointing to resilient asset performance and improved earnings visibility as key supports for higher valuation.
Narrative Update • Nov 30

CG: Investment Projects And Share Buybacks Will Balance Risks In The Year Ahead

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Centerra Gold, raising it to C$16.75 from C$16.50. They cite steady revenue growth and the company’s ongoing investment phase as key factors in their assessment.
Narrative Update • Nov 16

CG: Share Buyback And Expansions Will Balance Investment Risks Ahead

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has moved slightly higher to $18.48. This reflects a more positive outlook from analysts as they weigh improved revenue growth and margin forecasts against ongoing operational and investment challenges.
Narrative Update • Nov 01

CG: Investment Phase And Production Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target increased from $16.59 to $18.41. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations according to recent analyst updates.
Narrative Update • Oct 18

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has recently shifted by approximately 13 percent, with analysts attributing the revision to a mixed outlook on core operations and expectations for project investments. This is reflected in a new average estimate of $9.50 to C$14 per share.
Narrative Update • Oct 04

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Centerra Gold's analyst price target has shifted upward to $14.62 from $13.47, as analysts cite a balanced outlook that reflects both ongoing investment projects and evolving asset performance across the company’s portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage reveals divided perspectives on Centerra Gold's current positioning and future trajectory.
Narrative Update • Sep 14

Mount Milligan And Goldfield Upgrades Will Unlock Sustainable Potential

Analysts have raised Centerra Gold’s price target from CA$12.57 to CA$13.47 on optimism about its undervalued project pipeline and longer-term growth opportunities, though near-term cash flow and production concerns remain. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight deep value and potential upside from Centerra’s significant project pipeline, including Thompson Creek, Goldfield, and Kemess.
Analysis Article • Sep 09

Earnings Tell The Story For Centerra Gold Inc. (TSE:CG) As Its Stock Soars 27%

The Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27...
Analysis Article • Aug 10

Centerra Gold (TSE:CG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.07

Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.07 per share on the 4th of September. The...
Analysis Article • May 14

Centerra Gold's (TSE:CG) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Centerra Gold Inc.'s ( TSE:CG ) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. We think...
Analysis Article • May 08

Centerra Gold Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for Centerra Gold Inc. ( TSE:CG ) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to CA$10.08...
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New Narrative • Feb 19

Mount Milligan's Future Expansion May Enhance Revenue, But Cost Pressures Could Impact Margins

Long-term operations and strategic evaluations at Mount Milligan and Goldfield could enhance future earnings and revenue potential.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:CG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,3244982516992
12/31/20271,7274032805693
12/31/20261,6453201625293
3/31/20261,570633134410N/A
12/31/20251,38558495349N/A
9/30/20251,285339130338N/A
6/30/20251,2147569280N/A
3/31/20251,2084467258N/A
12/31/20241,21580139298N/A
9/30/20241,252104203351N/A
6/30/20241,272136278414N/A
3/31/20241,17459316445N/A
12/31/20231,095-81129246N/A
9/30/2023963-183-890N/A
6/30/2023798-277-156-93N/A
3/31/2023782-240-198-130N/A
12/31/2022850-77-260-2N/A
9/30/2022893328-19670N/A
6/30/2022935389-119149N/A
3/31/202296942520290N/A
12/31/2021900447322415N/A
9/30/2021861204430535N/A
6/30/2021892258721831N/A
3/31/2021819193846962N/A
12/31/202072116826930N/A
9/30/2020822-28680841N/A
6/30/2020959-275295514N/A
3/31/20201,169-20993337N/A
12/31/20191,375-94N/A334N/A
9/30/20191,454-32N/A393N/A
6/30/20191,325149N/A399N/A
3/31/20191,228153N/A376N/A
12/31/20181,129113N/A217N/A
9/30/20181,096197N/A236N/A
6/30/20181,113220N/A318N/A
3/31/20181,149206N/A389N/A
12/31/20171,199252N/A501N/A
9/30/20171,147183N/A501N/A
6/30/20171,089211N/A516N/A
3/31/2017970190N/A434N/A
12/31/2016758152N/A371N/A
9/30/201660085N/A247N/A
6/30/2016498N/AN/A154N/A
3/31/201648519N/A212N/A
12/31/201562442N/A334N/A
9/30/201583633N/A505N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: CG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CG's revenue (13.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CG's revenue (13.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 23:27
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centerra Gold Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Raj RayBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research