Stock Analysis

Canfor (TSE:CFP) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Canfor Corporation (TSE:CFP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Canfor

How Much Debt Does Canfor Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Canfor had CA$280.8m of debt, up from CA$265.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CA$949.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CA$669.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CFP Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2023

How Healthy Is Canfor's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Canfor had liabilities of CA$937.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$1.10b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$949.8m as well as receivables valued at CA$617.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$468.4m.

Given Canfor has a market capitalization of CA$2.86b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Canfor boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Canfor if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 88% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Canfor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Canfor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Canfor recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While Canfor does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CA$669.0m. So we don't have any problem with Canfor's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Canfor you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CFP

Canfor

Operates as an integrated forest products company in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and internationally.

Good value with reasonable growth potential.

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