We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Cascades Inc. (TSE:CAS) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend
Cascades Inc. (TSE:CAS) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 3 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is two business days before the record date, which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade can take two business days or more to settle. Thus, you can purchase Cascades' shares before the 6th of March in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 20th of March.
The company's next dividend payment will be CA$0.12 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CA$0.48 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Cascades has a trailing yield of 4.3% on the current share price of CA$11.22. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Cascades's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.
Check out our latest analysis for Cascades
Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Cascades's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. Dividends consumed 55% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Cascades was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Cascades has increased its dividend at approximately 12% a year on average.
We update our analysis on Cascades every 24 hours, so you can always get the latest insights on its financial health, here.
The Bottom Line
Should investors buy Cascades for the upcoming dividend? It's hard to get used to Cascades paying a dividend despite reporting a loss over the past year. At least the dividend was covered by free cash flow, however. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.
With that being said, if you're still considering Cascades as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cascades (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CAS
Cascades
Produces, converts, and markets packaging and tissue products in Canada and the United States.
Very undervalued average dividend payer.
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