Stock Analysis

First Majestic Silver (TSX:AG) Is Up 6.3% After 76% Jump in Silver Output and 2025 Guidance

  • First Majestic Silver recently announced a very large 76% year-over-year rise in silver production to 3.7 million ounces, highlighting operational efficiencies following the seamless integration of Cerro Los Gatos.
  • The company’s optimistic guidance for 2025, targeting 30 to 32 million silver equivalent ounces and underpinned by a strong cash position and robust exploration investments, signals confidence in its growth trajectory.
  • We’ll explore how the sizable increase in silver production influences First Majestic Silver’s investment narrative and future growth potential.

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First Majestic Silver Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in First Majestic Silver, you need to believe that strong operational execution and robust silver production growth can outpace rising costs and region-specific risks, making continued investment in exploration and development worthwhile. The impressive 76% surge in silver production bolsters the short-term catalyst of volume-driven revenue growth but does not entirely remove the risk of persistent cost pressures, especially with ambitious spending plans still in place.

Among recent announcements, the Q2 2025 earnings report stands out, with revenue nearly doubling to US$264.23 million and a return to profitability, directly reflecting the impact of increased production. These financial results give substance to the narrative that operational efficiencies and volume growth can drive improved earnings, reinforcing optimism around current catalysts while keeping execution risks in the spotlight.

However, despite the operational gains, investors should be aware that if operating and capital expenditures remain elevated while silver prices or production volumes stall, then...

Read the full narrative on First Majestic Silver (it's free!)

First Majestic Silver's narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $94.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 12.2% yearly revenue growth and a $79.3 million increase in earnings from $14.7 million today.

Uncover how First Majestic Silver's forecasts yield a CA$13.88 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:AG Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
TSX:AG Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Seven private investors in the Simply Wall St Community arrived at fair value estimates for First Majestic Silver ranging from US$3.91 to US$120 per share. With such a broad spectrum of views, factor in that ongoing operational efficiencies from higher silver output and integration gains could play a crucial role in shaping future market outcomes.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on First Majestic Silver - why the stock might be worth over 9x more than the current price!

Build Your Own First Majestic Silver Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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