Slammed 31% Organto Foods Inc. (CVE:OGO) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Organto Foods Inc. (CVE:OGO) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 91% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Organto Foods may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Food industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Organto Foods
How Organto Foods Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Organto Foods as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Organto Foods' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Organto Foods' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 233% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 73% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that Organto Foods is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of Organto Foods' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
To us, it seems Organto Foods currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
Having said that, be aware Organto Foods is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 4 of those don't sit too well with us.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:OGO
Organto Foods
Engages in the sourcing, processing, packaging, distribution, and marketing of organic and value-added fruit, and vegetable products.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.