The analysts covering enCore Energy Corp. (CVE:EU) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic. At CA$2.23, shares are up 6.7% in the past 7 days. It will be interesting to see if this downgrade motivates investors to start selling their holdings.
Following this downgrade, enCore Energy's four analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$57m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before the latest update, the analysts were foreseeing US$99m of revenue in 2025. It looks like forecasts have become a fair bit less optimistic on enCore Energy, given the pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates.
View our latest analysis for enCore Energy
The consensus price target fell 14% to CA$6.06, with the analysts clearly less optimistic about enCore Energy's valuation following this update.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 1.5% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 91% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 2.9% per year. It's pretty clear that enCore Energy's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their revenue estimates for this year. They also expect company revenue to perform worse than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of enCore Energy's future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on enCore Energy after today.
Need some more information? At least one of enCore Energy's four analysts has provided estimates out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.
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