Stock Analysis

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TSE:TWM) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

TSX:TWM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. (TSE:TWM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure

What Is Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure had debt of CA$882.2m, up from CA$724.7m in one year. On the flip side, it has CA$23.1m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$859.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TWM Debt to Equity History September 1st 2023

A Look At Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure had liabilities of CA$436.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$1.11b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$23.1m in cash and CA$226.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$1.29b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$459.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.53 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure saw its EBIT tank 73% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure is carrying heavy debt load. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.