Stock Analysis

January 2025's Noteworthy Stocks Estimated To Be Below Fair Value

TSX:TOU
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As global markets navigate a period of mixed economic signals, including declining U.S. consumer confidence and fluctuating stock indices, investors are increasingly focused on identifying opportunities that may be undervalued amidst this volatility. In such an environment, stocks estimated to be below their fair value can present compelling opportunities for those looking to capitalize on potential market inefficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Lundin Gold (TSX:LUG)CA$31.92CA$63.8150%
Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU)CA$67.37CA$134.3449.9%
Bank BTPN Syariah (IDX:BTPS)IDR935.00IDR1869.7350%
Strike CompanyLimited (TSE:6196)¥3655.00¥7284.3549.8%
Camden National (NasdaqGS:CAC)US$42.25US$84.4450%
S Foods (TSE:2292)¥2737.00¥5472.3550%
Emporiki Eisagogiki Aftokiniton Ditrohon kai Mihanon Thalassis Societe Anonyme (ATSE:MOTO)€2.76€5.5049.8%
Elekta (OM:EKTA B)SEK61.80SEK123.1249.8%
Pluk Phak Praw Rak Mae (SET:OKJ)THB15.50THB30.8649.8%
Vogo (ENXTPA:ALVGO)€2.95€5.8749.8%

Click here to see the full list of 897 stocks from our Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Saipem (BIT:SPM)

Overview: Saipem SpA is a global provider of energy and infrastructure solutions with a market cap of €5.21 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from various segments, including Energy Carriers (€5.87 billion), Offshore Drilling (€1.40 billion), and Asset Based Services (€10.86 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 43.1%

Saipem is trading at €2.66, significantly below its estimated fair value of €4.68, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite forecasted revenue growth lagging the Italian market at 1.7% per year, earnings are expected to grow substantially at 25.2% annually over the next three years, outpacing the market's 6.9%. Saipem became profitable this year and has a high projected return on equity of 22.1% in three years.

BIT:SPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
BIT:SPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

Eastroc Beverage(Group) (SHSE:605499)

Overview: Eastroc Beverage(Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures beverages in China and has a market cap of CN¥128.67 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of CN¥15.18 billion from the production, sales, and wholesale of beverages and pre-packaged foods in China.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 23.9%

Eastroc Beverage is trading at CN¥247.44, below its fair value estimate of CN¥325.2, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings for the nine months ended September 2024 show significant growth, with sales reaching CN¥12.56 billion and net income at CN¥2.71 billion, both up from the previous year. Revenue is expected to grow 22.4% annually, outpacing the Chinese market's 13.6%, though earnings growth may lag slightly behind market expectations.

SHSE:605499 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
SHSE:605499 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU)

Overview: Tourmaline Oil Corp. is engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas properties within the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, with a market cap of approximately CA$24.84 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its petroleum and natural gas properties, amounting to CA$4.48 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.9%

Tourmaline Oil, trading at CA$67.37, is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate of CA$134.34 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a dividend yield of 5.79% not being well-covered by free cash flows, the company demonstrates robust growth prospects with earnings expected to rise 25.66% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate. However, recent insider selling and past shareholder dilution may warrant caution for potential investors.

TSX:TOU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
TSX:TOU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSX:TOU

Tourmaline Oil

Explores for and develops oil and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.

High growth potential with solid track record.

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