Eastroc Beverage(Group) Co., Ltd.

SHSE:605499 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥111.2b

Eastroc Beverage(Group) Valuation

Is 605499 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 605499 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 605499 (CN¥213.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥325.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 605499 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 605499?

Key metric: As 605499 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 605499. This is calculated by dividing 605499's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 605499's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36x
EarningsCN¥3.09b
Market CapCN¥111.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 605499's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 605499 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery
17.9x12.8%CN¥89.4b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery
15.2x7.4%CN¥127.3b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd
14.1x11.0%CN¥200.6b
603369 Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd
15.5x12.6%CN¥55.5b
605499 Eastroc Beverage(Group)
36x23.7%CN¥111.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 605499 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 605499's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
605499 36.0xIndustry Avg. 23.0xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 605499 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 605499's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

605499 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36x
Fair PE Ratio31.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 605499 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 605499 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥213.77
CN¥237.05
+10.9%
8.6%CN¥268.22CN¥203.85n/a9
Nov ’25CN¥210.64
CN¥237.05
+12.5%
8.6%CN¥268.22CN¥203.85n/a9
Oct ’25CN¥208.45
CN¥204.35
-2.0%
3.4%CN¥217.94CN¥190.77n/a8
Sep ’25CN¥175.34
CN¥189.40
+8.0%
6.3%CN¥202.71CN¥165.38n/a7
Aug ’25CN¥179.76
CN¥187.53
+4.3%
6.5%CN¥202.72CN¥165.38n/a8
Jul ’25CN¥165.23
CN¥176.98
+7.1%
5.9%CN¥198.46CN¥165.38n/a8
Jun ’25CN¥164.59
CN¥175.24
+6.5%
4.3%CN¥184.62CN¥165.38n/a8
May ’25CN¥163.75
CN¥175.24
+7.0%
4.3%CN¥184.62CN¥165.38n/a8
Apr ’25CN¥143.46
CN¥172.01
+19.9%
5.2%CN¥184.62CN¥160.00n/a8
Mar ’25CN¥138.27
CN¥172.01
+24.4%
5.2%CN¥184.62CN¥160.00n/a8
Feb ’25CN¥127.88
CN¥172.01
+34.5%
5.2%CN¥184.62CN¥160.00n/a8
Jan ’25CN¥140.39
CN¥175.49
+25.0%
6.0%CN¥192.72CN¥160.00n/a8
Dec ’24CN¥149.69
CN¥175.49
+17.2%
6.0%CN¥192.72CN¥160.00n/a8
Nov ’24CN¥142.07
CN¥174.24
+22.6%
7.2%CN¥192.72CN¥150.00CN¥210.648
Oct ’24CN¥140.67
CN¥171.43
+21.9%
7.8%CN¥186.83CN¥150.00CN¥208.458
Sep ’24CN¥151.54
CN¥171.43
+13.1%
7.8%CN¥186.83CN¥150.00CN¥175.348
Aug ’24CN¥140.63
CN¥171.99
+22.3%
7.8%CN¥184.62CN¥143.85CN¥179.766
Jul ’24CN¥133.00
CN¥171.60
+29.0%
7.7%CN¥184.62CN¥143.85CN¥165.236
Jun ’24CN¥125.69
CN¥171.60
+36.5%
7.7%CN¥184.62CN¥143.85CN¥164.596
May ’24CN¥137.28
CN¥171.60
+25.0%
7.7%CN¥184.62CN¥143.85CN¥163.756
Apr ’24CN¥148.01
CN¥158.50
+7.1%
12.6%CN¥186.00CN¥134.23CN¥143.466
Mar ’24CN¥158.46
CN¥158.50
+0.02%
12.6%CN¥186.00CN¥134.23CN¥138.276
Feb ’24CN¥136.37
CN¥147.46
+8.1%
10.4%CN¥176.15CN¥134.23CN¥127.885
Jan ’24CN¥136.85
CN¥140.19
+2.4%
4.5%CN¥150.00CN¥134.23CN¥140.394
Dec ’23CN¥134.80
CN¥139.08
+3.2%
4.4%CN¥150.00CN¥134.23CN¥149.695
Nov ’23CN¥128.12
CN¥139.08
+8.6%
4.4%CN¥150.00CN¥134.23CN¥142.075

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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