Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

SZSE:000596 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥84.7b

Anhui Gujing Distillery Valuation

Is 000596 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000596 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000596 (CN¥176.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥366.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000596 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000596?

Key metric: As 000596 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000596. This is calculated by dividing 000596's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000596's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
EarningsCN¥5.52b
Market CapCN¥84.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000596's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000596 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
603369 Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd
15.7x12.2%CN¥55.8b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery
15.3x6.6%CN¥126.1b
603198 Anhui Yingjia Distillery
17x13.9%CN¥44.4b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd
13.4x9.7%CN¥191.3b
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery
16.9x12.5%CN¥84.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000596 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000596's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000596 16.9xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000596's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000596 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio25.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000596 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥176.30
CN¥221.89
+25.9%
8.2%CN¥252.40CN¥190.00n/a9
Dec ’25CN¥189.63
CN¥221.89
+17.0%
8.2%CN¥252.40CN¥190.00n/a9
Nov ’25CN¥191.99
CN¥224.67
+17.0%
8.4%CN¥252.40CN¥193.00n/a9
Oct ’25CN¥203.02
CN¥223.20
+9.9%
6.4%CN¥247.00CN¥196.00n/a9
Sep ’25CN¥172.02
CN¥264.31
+53.7%
22.1%CN¥389.00CN¥208.61n/a9
Aug ’25CN¥179.43
CN¥299.78
+67.1%
16.8%CN¥389.00CN¥208.61n/a9
Jul ’25CN¥207.77
CN¥312.16
+50.2%
12.4%CN¥389.00CN¥236.00n/a9
Jun ’25CN¥250.70
CN¥314.95
+25.6%
12.0%CN¥389.00CN¥236.00n/a10
May ’25CN¥271.24
CN¥298.04
+9.9%
11.6%CN¥340.00CN¥236.00n/a9
Apr ’25CN¥269.00
CN¥297.98
+10.8%
14.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a11
Mar ’25CN¥221.51
CN¥305.36
+37.9%
15.0%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Feb ’25CN¥200.06
CN¥314.44
+57.2%
13.2%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Jan ’25CN¥232.80
CN¥322.20
+38.4%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Dec ’24CN¥253.39
CN¥322.20
+27.2%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00CN¥189.6312
Nov ’24CN¥280.40
CN¥320.58
+14.3%
13.1%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00CN¥191.9911
Oct ’24CN¥271.80
CN¥321.78
+18.4%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00CN¥203.0212
Sep ’24CN¥292.49
CN¥312.78
+6.9%
14.4%CN¥370.00CN¥225.00CN¥172.0212
Aug ’24CN¥269.15
CN¥319.87
+18.8%
11.7%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥179.4311
Jul ’24CN¥247.38
CN¥325.69
+31.7%
10.4%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥207.7711
Jun ’24CN¥254.00
CN¥325.69
+28.2%
10.4%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥250.7011
May ’24CN¥273.74
CN¥317.33
+15.9%
9.5%CN¥363.60CN¥275.00CN¥271.248
Apr ’24CN¥296.00
CN¥310.92
+5.0%
8.4%CN¥355.00CN¥275.00CN¥269.007
Mar ’24CN¥278.23
CN¥309.63
+11.3%
8.5%CN¥355.00CN¥275.00CN¥221.517
Feb ’24CN¥281.98
CN¥280.49
-0.5%
13.9%CN¥315.00CN¥190.00CN¥200.067
Jan ’24CN¥266.90
CN¥255.60
-4.2%
16.7%CN¥300.00CN¥190.00CN¥232.807
Dec ’23CN¥243.88
CN¥253.60
+4.0%
16.7%CN¥301.00CN¥190.00CN¥253.397

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 12:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. is covered by 47 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Xin ZhangAJ Securities Co., Ltd
Siyuan DongChangjiang Securities Co. LTD.
Xinyi ZhangChasing Securities