Stock Analysis

Perpetual Energy Inc.'s (TSE:PMT) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

TSX:PMT
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Perpetual Energy Inc. (TSE:PMT) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Perpetual Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:PMT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024

How Has Perpetual Energy Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Perpetual Energy's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Perpetual Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Perpetual Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 4.1% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Perpetual Energy's P/S falls short of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Perpetual Energy revealed its three-year revenue trends looking similar to current industry expectations hasn't given the P/S the boost we expected, given that it's lower than the wider industry P/S, There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching the company's performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Perpetual Energy that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.