Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Ceres Global Ag Corp. (TSE:CRP) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ceres Global Ag
What Is Ceres Global Ag's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Ceres Global Ag had US$64.3m of debt at March 2023, down from US$134.4m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$7.12m in cash leading to net debt of about US$57.2m.
How Strong Is Ceres Global Ag's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ceres Global Ag had liabilities of US$85.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$43.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$7.12m and US$12.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$109.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$57.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ceres Global Ag would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ceres Global Ag will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Ceres Global Ag reported revenue of US$1.1b, which is a gain of 13%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Ceres Global Ag had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$504k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$28m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ceres Global Ag , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CRP
Ceres Global Ag
Provides agricultural commodities and value-added products, industrial products, fertilizers, energy products, and supply chain logistics services.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.