Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Boyd Group Services' (TSE:BYD) Returns On Capital

TSX:BYD
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Boyd Group Services (TSE:BYD) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Boyd Group Services:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.07 = US$118m ÷ (US$2.1b - US$424m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Boyd Group Services has an ROCE of 7.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Commercial Services industry average of 7.9%.

See our latest analysis for Boyd Group Services

roce
TSX:BYD Return on Capital Employed May 11th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Boyd Group Services' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Boyd Group Services here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Boyd Group Services

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by cash flow.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Commercial Services market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Can We Tell From Boyd Group Services' ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Boyd Group Services, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 12% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

Our Take On Boyd Group Services' ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Boyd Group Services. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 122% to shareholders in the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

Like most companies, Boyd Group Services does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boyd Group Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.