Boyd Group Services Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of BYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

BYD (CA$220.65) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CA$302.6)

Is BYD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BYD (CA$220.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$302.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BYD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BYD?

Key metric: As BYD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BYD. This is calculated by dividing BYD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BYD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	82.2x
Earnings	US$41.17m
Market Cap	US$3.38b

BYD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	20.5x
PEG Ratio	1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BYD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BYD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	34x
EFN Element Fleet Management	23.4x	14.5%	CA$11.7b
GDI GDI Integrated Facility Services	56.4x	54.4%	CA$824.6m
CGY Calian Group	34.2x	35.3%	CA$563.6m
BDI Black Diamond Group	22.3x	24.6%	CA$533.5m
BYD Boyd Group Services	82.3x	60.1%	CA$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (82.3x) compared to the peer average (34x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BYD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Commercial Services Industry?

5 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

5 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (82.3x) compared to the North American Commercial Services industry average (27.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BYD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BYD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	82.2x
Fair PE Ratio	59x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (82.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BYD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CA$220.65	CA$264.02 +19.7%	10.1%	CA$321.39	CA$208.90	n/a	12
Nov ’25	CA$216.75	CA$280.88 +29.6%	10.6%	CA$350.39	CA$223.37	n/a	12
Oct ’25	CA$206.00	CA$281.80 +36.8%	11.0%	CA$337.19	CA$217.97	n/a	12
Sep ’25	CA$224.56	CA$284.16 +26.5%	11.0%	CA$340.29	CA$219.97	n/a	12
Aug ’25	CA$231.02	CA$303.76 +31.5%	10.5%	CA$354.94	CA$235.97	n/a	12
Jul ’25	CA$256.97	CA$304.16 +18.4%	9.5%	CA$352.63	CA$236.98	n/a	12
Jun ’25	CA$228.16	CA$302.93 +32.8%	9.4%	CA$350.73	CA$235.70	n/a	12
May ’25	CA$264.90	CA$325.97 +23.1%	7.7%	CA$381.29	CA$272.95	n/a	14
Apr ’25	CA$284.10	CA$324.62 +14.3%	7.7%	CA$376.47	CA$269.50	n/a	14
Mar ’25	CA$311.79	CA$310.05 -0.6%	9.3%	CA$351.64	CA$233.51	n/a	14
Feb ’25	CA$297.51	CA$293.64 -1.3%	8.4%	CA$329.59	CA$230.36	n/a	14
Jan ’25	CA$278.49	CA$280.86 +0.9%	7.2%	CA$310.29	CA$230.01	n/a	14
Dec ’24	CA$260.64	CA$279.81 +7.4%	6.1%	CA$300.05	CA$233.57	n/a	14
Nov ’24	CA$239.47	CA$286.54 +19.7%	7.1%	CA$307.86	CA$226.82	CA$216.75	13
Oct ’24	CA$241.53	CA$284.51 +17.8%	5.3%	CA$302.51	CA$242.64	CA$206.00	13
Sep ’24	CA$245.27	CA$284.51 +16.0%	5.3%	CA$302.51	CA$242.64	CA$224.56	13
Aug ’24	CA$241.00	CA$263.10 +9.2%	7.1%	CA$282.19	CA$224.76	CA$231.02	12
Jul ’24	CA$252.75	CA$264.19 +4.5%	6.9%	CA$287.12	CA$228.69	CA$256.97	13
Jun ’24	CA$248.00	CA$264.19 +6.5%	6.9%	CA$287.12	CA$228.69	CA$228.16	13
May ’24	CA$227.91	CA$241.58 +6.0%	7.1%	CA$276.26	CA$209.83	CA$264.90	13
Apr ’24	CA$216.04	CA$244.38 +13.1%	7.2%	CA$280.08	CA$212.73	CA$284.10	13
Mar ’24	CA$213.79	CA$234.78 +9.8%	8.3%	CA$263.89	CA$202.52	CA$311.79	12
Feb ’24	CA$200.74	CA$231.66 +15.4%	8.2%	CA$262.39	CA$201.37	CA$297.51	12
Jan ’24	CA$209.16	CA$233.02 +11.4%	9.0%	CA$265.78	CA$203.97	CA$278.49	12
Dec ’23	CA$218.23	CA$226.63 +3.8%	8.1%	CA$254.91	CA$201.16	CA$260.64	11
Nov ’23	CA$200.03	CA$218.37 +9.2%	9.1%	CA$247.76	CA$189.55	CA$239.47	11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.