Black Diamond Group Limited

TSX:BDI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$543.9m

Black Diamond Group Valuation

Is BDI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BDI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BDI (CA$8.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$12.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BDI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BDI?

Key metric: As BDI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BDI. This is calculated by dividing BDI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BDI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.5x
EarningsCA$24.14m
Market CapCA$543.86m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BDI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BDI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.6x
CGY Calian Group
34x35.3%CA$573.9m
DXT Dexterra Group
15x39.0%CA$436.7m
KBL K-Bro Linen
20.7x15.6%CA$386.7m
GDI GDI Integrated Facility Services
56.6x54.4%CA$848.8m
BDI Black Diamond Group
22.5x24.6%CA$543.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the peer average (31.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BDI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Commercial Services Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BDI 22.5xIndustry Avg. 31.5xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the North American Commercial Services industry average (31.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BDI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BDI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BDI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$8.90
CA$12.42
+39.5%
10.2%CA$14.00CA$10.50n/a6
Nov ’25CA$8.96
CA$12.42
+38.6%
10.2%CA$14.00CA$10.50n/a6
Oct ’25CA$9.65
CA$12.42
+28.7%
10.2%CA$14.00CA$10.50n/a6
Sep ’25CA$9.83
CA$12.21
+24.2%
12.2%CA$14.00CA$10.25n/a6
Aug ’25CA$9.24
CA$11.58
+25.4%
12.4%CA$14.00CA$9.75n/a6
Jul ’25CA$8.10
CA$11.63
+43.5%
11.9%CA$14.00CA$10.00n/a6
Jun ’25CA$7.89
CA$11.63
+47.3%
11.9%CA$14.00CA$10.00n/a6
May ’25CA$8.45
CA$11.92
+41.0%
9.2%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a6
Apr ’25CA$8.80
CA$12.08
+37.3%
8.4%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a6
Mar ’25CA$9.30
CA$11.42
+22.8%
8.2%CA$12.00CA$9.50n/a6
Feb ’25CA$8.97
CA$11.16
+24.5%
9.9%CA$12.48CA$9.50n/a6
Jan ’25CA$8.17
CA$10.75
+31.6%
11.9%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a6
Dec ’24CA$8.56
CA$10.46
+22.2%
11.1%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a6
Nov ’24CA$6.17
CA$9.17
+48.6%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.25CA$8.966
Oct ’24CA$7.20
CA$9.17
+27.3%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.25CA$9.656
Sep ’24CA$6.34
CA$9.00
+42.0%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50CA$9.836
Aug ’24CA$5.88
CA$9.00
+53.1%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50CA$9.246
Jul ’24CA$6.05
CA$9.00
+48.8%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50CA$8.106
Jun ’24CA$6.08
CA$9.08
+49.4%
9.4%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$7.896
May ’24CA$7.04
CA$9.13
+29.6%
8.9%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$8.456
Apr ’24CA$5.94
CA$9.21
+55.0%
7.7%CA$10.00CA$8.50CA$8.806
Mar ’24CA$6.81
CA$7.75
+13.8%
6.5%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$9.306
Feb ’24CA$5.30
CA$7.75
+46.2%
6.5%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.976
Jan ’24CA$4.83
CA$7.79
+61.3%
6.0%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.176
Dec ’23CA$4.50
CA$7.79
+73.1%
6.0%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.566
Nov ’23CA$4.35
CA$7.33
+68.6%
7.3%CA$8.00CA$6.50CA$6.176

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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