Black Diamond Group Limited

TSX:BDI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$561.7m

Black Diamond Group Valuation

Is BDI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BDI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BDI (CA$9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$5.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BDI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BDI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BDI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.4x
PEG Ratio18.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BDI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BDI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
KBL K-Bro Linen
20.8x12.7%CA$364.7m
CGY Calian Group
33x26.3%CA$652.0m
DXT Dexterra Group
14x22.2%CA$383.0m
GDI GDI Integrated Facility Services
46.2x39.4%CA$881.2m
BDI Black Diamond Group
18.4x1.0%CA$561.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BDI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a38.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a38.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the North American Commercial Services industry average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BDI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BDI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BDI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$9.00
CA$11.92
+32.4%
9.2%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a6
Apr ’25CA$8.80
CA$12.08
+37.3%
8.4%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a6
Mar ’25CA$9.30
CA$11.42
+22.8%
8.2%CA$12.00CA$9.50n/a6
Feb ’25CA$8.97
CA$11.16
+24.5%
9.9%CA$12.48CA$9.50n/a6
Jan ’25CA$8.17
CA$10.75
+31.6%
11.9%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a6
Dec ’24CA$8.56
CA$10.46
+22.2%
11.1%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a6
Nov ’24CA$6.17
CA$9.17
+48.6%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.25n/a6
Oct ’24CA$7.20
CA$9.17
+27.3%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.25n/a6
Sep ’24CA$6.34
CA$9.00
+42.0%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50n/a6
Aug ’24CA$5.88
CA$9.00
+53.1%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50n/a6
Jul ’24CA$6.05
CA$9.00
+48.8%
10.8%CA$10.00CA$7.50n/a6
Jun ’24CA$6.08
CA$9.08
+49.4%
9.4%CA$10.00CA$8.00n/a6
May ’24CA$7.04
CA$9.13
+29.6%
8.9%CA$10.00CA$8.00n/a6
Apr ’24CA$5.94
CA$9.21
+55.0%
7.7%CA$10.00CA$8.50CA$8.806
Mar ’24CA$6.81
CA$7.75
+13.8%
6.5%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$9.306
Feb ’24CA$5.30
CA$7.75
+46.2%
6.5%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.976
Jan ’24CA$4.83
CA$7.79
+61.3%
6.0%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.176
Dec ’23CA$4.50
CA$7.79
+73.1%
6.0%CA$8.50CA$7.00CA$8.566
Nov ’23CA$4.35
CA$7.33
+68.6%
7.3%CA$8.00CA$6.50CA$6.176
Oct ’23CA$3.80
CA$7.54
+98.5%
9.1%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$7.206
Sep ’23CA$4.10
CA$7.54
+83.9%
9.1%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$6.346
Aug ’23CA$3.76
CA$7.25
+92.8%
10.3%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$5.886
Jul ’23CA$3.72
CA$7.33
+97.1%
9.4%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$6.056
Jun ’23CA$4.27
CA$7.33
+71.7%
9.4%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$6.086
May ’23CA$4.37
CA$7.29
+66.9%
9.8%CA$8.50CA$6.50CA$7.046
Apr ’23CA$4.81
CA$6.88
+42.9%
8.8%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$5.946

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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