Stock Analysis

Badger Infrastructure Solutions (TSE:BDGI) Has Re-Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.052

TSX:BDGI
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The board of Badger Infrastructure Solutions Ltd. (TSE:BDGI) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.052 per share on the 15th of July. This means the annual payment is 1.6% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Badger Infrastructure Solutions

Badger Infrastructure Solutions' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Badger Infrastructure Solutions' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate that the payout ratio could reach 73%, which is in a comfortable range for us.

historic-dividend
TSX:BDGI Historic Dividend June 19th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was CA$0.42 in 2011, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$0.63. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.1% a year over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though Badger Infrastructure Solutions' EPS has declined at around 30% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Badger Infrastructure Solutions that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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