Stock Analysis

Neoenergia (BVMF:NEOE3) Is Reducing Its Dividend To R$0.13

BOVESPA:NEOE3
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Neoenergia S.A. (BVMF:NEOE3) is reducing its dividend to R$0.13 on the 31st of December. This means that the dividend yield is 2.7%, which is a bit low when comparing to other companies in the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Neoenergia

Neoenergia's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Based on the last payment, Neoenergia was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

EPS is set to fall by 30.3% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 19%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:NEOE3 Historic Dividend January 3rd 2022

Neoenergia's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its short history, we have seen the dividend cut. The dividend has gone from R$0.60 in 2019 to the most recent annual payment of R$0.36. The dividend has fallen 40% over that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Neoenergia has impressed us by growing EPS at 39% per year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

In Summary

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Neoenergia is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Neoenergia has 4 warning signs (and 3 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Neoenergia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.