Stock Analysis

Eneva S.A.'s (BVMF:ENEV3) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

BOVESPA:ENEV3
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Eneva (BVMF:ENEV3) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Eneva's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Eneva is:

4.6% = R$952m ÷ R$21b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.05.

View our latest analysis for Eneva

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Eneva's Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

As you can see, Eneva's ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.6%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 20% seen by Eneva over the last five years is not surprising.

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 7.5% in the same 5-year period, we still found Eneva's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:ENEV3 Past Earnings Growth July 4th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is ENEV3 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ENEV3 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Eneva Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Eneva doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Eneva's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Eneva might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.