Eneva Valuation

Is ENEV3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENEV3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENEV3 (R$11.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$22.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENEV3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENEV3?

Key metric: As ENEV3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ENEV3. This is calculated by dividing ENEV3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ENEV3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.2x
EarningsR$817.92m
Market CapR$23.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ENEV3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ENEV3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
AURE3 Auren Energia
14.4x-4.7%R$9.9b
EGIE3 Engie Brasil Energia
7.7x-14.0%R$31.5b
ENGI3 Energisa
11.6x1.1%R$21.4b
EQTL3 Equatorial Energia
17.3x19.8%R$38.3b
ENEV3 Eneva
28.2x-1.9%R$23.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ENEV3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENEV3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Renewable Energy Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENEV3 28.2xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies42PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ENEV3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the Global Renewable Energy industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENEV3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENEV3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ENEV3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENEV3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$11.95
R$16.38
+37.0%
9.2%R$18.50R$14.00n/a8
Nov ’25R$12.66
R$16.29
+28.7%
9.2%R$18.50R$14.00n/a7
Oct ’25R$13.93
R$16.14
+15.9%
8.5%R$18.50R$14.00n/a7
Sep ’25R$13.13
R$15.98
+21.7%
6.6%R$17.34R$14.00n/a8
Aug ’25R$12.54
R$15.82
+26.1%
5.9%R$17.34R$14.00n/a9
Jul ’25R$12.71
R$15.82
+24.4%
5.9%R$17.34R$14.00n/a9
Jun ’25R$12.43
R$15.59
+25.5%
7.0%R$17.34R$14.00n/a9
May ’25R$12.38
R$15.59
+26.0%
7.0%R$17.34R$14.00n/a9
Apr ’25R$12.69
R$15.48
+22.0%
7.7%R$17.34R$14.00n/a9
Mar ’25R$12.61
R$15.09
+19.7%
12.9%R$17.34R$10.50n/a9
Feb ’25R$12.84
R$15.00
+16.8%
13.4%R$17.41R$10.50n/a9
Jan ’25R$13.61
R$15.00
+10.2%
13.4%R$17.41R$10.50n/a9
Dec ’24R$12.95
R$15.00
+15.8%
13.4%R$17.41R$10.50n/a9
Nov ’24R$10.81
R$14.68
+35.8%
18.3%R$17.41R$9.70R$12.669
Oct ’24R$12.06
R$14.69
+21.8%
18.3%R$17.41R$9.70R$13.939
Sep ’24R$12.05
R$14.63
+21.4%
18.0%R$17.41R$9.70R$13.139
Aug ’24R$13.36
R$14.62
+9.5%
18.0%R$17.41R$9.70R$12.549
Jul ’24R$12.27
R$14.62
+19.2%
18.0%R$17.41R$9.70R$12.719
Jun ’24R$11.74
R$15.71
+33.8%
6.9%R$17.41R$14.20R$12.439
May ’24R$11.35
R$15.77
+38.9%
6.9%R$17.41R$14.20R$12.389
Apr ’24R$10.47
R$15.93
+52.2%
6.2%R$17.41R$14.20R$12.699
Mar ’24R$11.20
R$15.93
+42.3%
6.2%R$17.41R$14.20R$12.619
Feb ’24R$12.24
R$16.08
+31.4%
5.0%R$17.41R$15.00R$12.849
Jan ’24R$11.93
R$16.41
+37.6%
5.5%R$18.00R$15.00R$13.619
Dec ’23R$12.27
R$16.91
+37.8%
4.5%R$18.00R$15.50R$12.959
Nov ’23R$14.12
R$17.17
+21.6%
3.5%R$18.00R$16.00R$10.817

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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