Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before CPFL Energia S.A. (BVMF:CPFE3) Shares Find Their Feet

BOVESPA:CPFE3
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When close to half the companies in Brazil have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider CPFL Energia S.A. (BVMF:CPFE3) as an attractive investment with its 8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

CPFL Energia certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for CPFL Energia

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:CPFE3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think CPFL Energia's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For CPFL Energia?

CPFL Energia's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.2%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.2% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that CPFL Energia is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CPFL Energia maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for CPFL Energia (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CPFL Energia is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.