Stock Analysis

Here's What To Make Of SIMPAR's (BVMF:SIMH3) Decelerating Rates Of Return

BOVESPA:SIMH3
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at SIMPAR (BVMF:SIMH3) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on SIMPAR is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.099 = R$4.9b ÷ (R$59b - R$9.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

So, SIMPAR has an ROCE of 9.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Transportation industry average of 11%.

See our latest analysis for SIMPAR

roce
BOVESPA:SIMH3 Return on Capital Employed February 7th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for SIMPAR compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering SIMPAR here for free.

So How Is SIMPAR's ROCE Trending?

The returns on capital haven't changed much for SIMPAR in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 9.9% and the business has deployed 484% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

On a side note, SIMPAR has done well to reduce current liabilities to 17% of total assets over the last five years. This can eliminate some of the risks inherent in the operations because the business has less outstanding obligations to their suppliers and or short-term creditors than they did previously.

The Bottom Line

In conclusion, SIMPAR has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 27% in the last year. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

One more thing: We've identified 5 warning signs with SIMPAR (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.

While SIMPAR isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.