Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Odontoprev S.A.'s (BVMF:ODPV3) Full-Year Report

BOVESPA:ODPV3
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Odontoprev S.A. (BVMF:ODPV3) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.3% to R$12.51 in the week after its latest yearly results. Odontoprev reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of R$2.1b and statutory earnings per share of R$0.93, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Odontoprev

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:ODPV3 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2024

Following the latest results, Odontoprev's seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of R$2.32b in 2024. This would be a decent 8.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of R$2.31b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$0.96 in 2024. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of R$12.78, with Odontoprev seemingly executing in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Odontoprev analyst has a price target of R$14.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at R$10.50. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Odontoprev's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.5% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.1% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to see revenue growth of 10% annually. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, Odontoprev is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

At least one of Odontoprev's seven analysts has provided estimates out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Odontoprev .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.