Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ser Educacional (BVMF:SEER3) Is Using Debt Extensively

BOVESPA:SEER3
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Ser Educacional S.A. (BVMF:SEER3) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ser Educacional

How Much Debt Does Ser Educacional Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Ser Educacional had debt of R$927.3m, up from R$728.2m in one year. However, it does have R$315.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$611.4m.

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BOVESPA:SEER3 Debt to Equity History September 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Ser Educacional's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ser Educacional had liabilities of R$730.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.54b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$315.9m and R$570.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.39b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the R$803.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Ser Educacional would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Ser Educacional has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.8, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.2. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Also relevant is that Ser Educacional has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 29% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ser Educacional can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Ser Educacional recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Ser Educacional's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Ser Educacional has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Ser Educacional (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.