Stock Analysis

Ser Educacional S.A.'s (BVMF:SEER3) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 30% Slump

BOVESPA:SEER3
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Ser Educacional S.A. (BVMF:SEER3) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Ser Educacional's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in Brazil, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Ser Educacional

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:SEER3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2024

What Does Ser Educacional's Recent Performance Look Like?

Ser Educacional's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. Those who are bullish on Ser Educacional will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ser Educacional will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Ser Educacional's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Ser Educacional's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.3% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 44% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.2% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.1% per annum, which is not materially different.

With this information, we can see why Ser Educacional is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Ser Educacional looks to be in line with the rest of the Consumer Services industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Ser Educacional's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Ser Educacional (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.