BOVESPA:COGN3

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Cogna Educação S.A. operates as a private educational organization in Brazil and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Moderate growth potential and overvalued.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Cogna Educação's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: COGN3 is more volatile than 75% of BR stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.

Volatility Over Time: COGN3's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of BR stocks.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-6.0%

COGN3

-4.4%

BR Consumer Services

-3.5%

BR Market


1 Year Return

-60.9%

COGN3

-44.0%

BR Consumer Services

0.7%

BR Market

Return vs Industry: COGN3 underperformed the BR Consumer Services industry which returned -44% over the past year.

Return vs Market: COGN3 underperformed the BR Market which returned 0.7% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

COGN3IndustryMarket
7 Day-6.0%-4.4%-3.5%
30 Day-4.1%-1.8%0.5%
90 Day-4.5%13.6%15.5%
1 Year-60.9%-60.9%-43.5%-44.0%3.4%0.7%
3 Year-71.2%-72.5%-43.4%-46.9%49.2%33.1%
5 Year-45.3%-50.5%134.2%111.9%195.5%145.1%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Cogna Educação's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Cogna Educação undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

0.48x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: COGN3 (R$4.41) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$4.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COGN3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: COGN3 is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the XX Consumer Services industry average.

PE vs Market: COGN3 is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the BR market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COGN3's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: COGN3 is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.5x) compared to the XS Consumer Services industry average (1.8x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Cogna Educação forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?

62.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COGN3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (9.9%).

Earnings vs Market: COGN3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: COGN3's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: COGN3's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the BR market (10.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COGN3's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COGN3's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Cogna Educação performed over the past 5 years?

-33.6%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: COGN3 is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: COGN3 is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: COGN3 is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 33.6% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare COGN3's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: COGN3 is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Consumer Services industry (-3.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: COGN3 has a negative Return on Equity (-10.72%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Cogna Educação's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: COGN3's short term assets (R$8.4B) exceed its short term liabilities (R$4.3B).

Long Term Liabilities: COGN3's short term assets (R$8.4B) do not cover its long term liabilities (R$13.5B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: COGN3's debt to equity ratio (44.8%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: COGN3's debt to equity ratio has increased from 6.7% to 44.8% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: COGN3's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (11.2%).

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if COGN3's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Cogna Educação current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.94%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate COGN3's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate COGN3's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if COGN3's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if COGN3's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: COGN3 is not paying a notable dividend for the BR market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of COGN3's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the BR market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

10.0yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Rodrigo Galindo (43 yo)

10yrs

Tenure

Mr. Rodrigo Calvo Galindo serves as Chairman at Vasta Platform Limited. Mr. Galindo serves as Director at Suzano S.A. since 2020. He has been Chief Executive Officer and Member of Board of Executive Office...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Rodrigo Galindo
CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of Board of Executive Officers10yrsno datano data
Frederico da Cunha Villa
CFO & Member of Executive Boardno datano datano data
Leonardo Augusto Lara
Legal Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Roberto Valério Neto
Kroton Executive Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Paulo de Tarso
Platos Executive Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Julia Gonçalves
Product3.08yrsno datano data
Paulo Serino
Saber Executive Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Bruno Giardino de Araujo
Investor Relations Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Fabio de Lacerda
Administrative Officer & Member of Board of Executive Officersno datano datano data
Adriano Denny
Chief Technology Officerno datano datano data
Alicia Maria Gross Pinheiro
Vice Chief Executive Officerno datano datano data
Fernando Inoshita
Controller12.75yrsno datano data

10.0yrs

Average Tenure

44yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: COGN3's management team is seasoned and experienced (10 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Rodrigo Galindo
CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of Board of Executive Officers10yrsno datano data
Nicolau Chacur
Independent Chairman of the Board0.58yrno datano data
Ricardo Scalzo
Member of Statutory Audit Board9.75yrsno datano data
Luiz de Moraes Carvalho
Independent Director11.5yrsno datano data
Walfrido dos Mares Guia Neto
Director9.75yrsno datano data
Antônio dos Santos
Member of Statutory Audit Board7.75yrsno datano data
Lucila de Oliveira Carvalho
Member of Statutory Audit Board7.75yrsno datano data
Juliana Munemori
Independent Directorno datano datano data
Eduardo Christovam Mestieri
Member of Fiscal Council0.50yrno datano data
Thiago dos Piau
Independent Directorno datano datano data

7.8yrs

Average Tenure

50yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: COGN3's board of directors are considered experienced (7.8 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 14.3%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Cogna Educação S.A.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Cogna Educação S.A.
  • Ticker: COGN3
  • Exchange: BOVESPA
  • Founded: 1998
  • Industry: Education Services
  • Sector: Consumer Services
  • Market Cap: R$8.242b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.87b
  • Website: https://ri.cogna.com.br

Number of Employees


Location

  • Cogna Educação S.A.
  • Rua Santa Madalena Sofia, 25
  • Belo Horizonte
  • Minas Gerais
  • Brazil

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
COGN3BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)YesCommon SharesBRBRLMar 2012
KROT.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesCommon SharesUSUSDMar 2012
COGN.YOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)SPONSORED ADSUSUSDOct 2013

Biography

Cogna Educação S.A. operates as a private educational organization in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through three segments: In-Class Higher Education, Distance Learning Higher Education,...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/01/25 21:56
End of Day Share Price2021/01/22 00:00
Earnings2020/09/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.