Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think GPS Participações e Empreendimentos (BVMF:GGPS3) Is An Interesting Stock

BOVESPA:GGPS3
Source: Shutterstock

Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in GPS Participações e Empreendimentos (BVMF:GGPS3). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

View our latest analysis for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos

How Quickly Is GPS Participações e Empreendimentos Increasing Earnings Per Share?

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. It certainly is nice to see that GPS Participações e Empreendimentos has managed to grow EPS by 19% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While we note GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 34% to R$6.6b. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:GGPS3 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are GPS Participações e Empreendimentos Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It makes me feel more secure owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, thusly more closely aligning our interests. So it is good to see that GPS Participações e Empreendimentos insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth R$3.0b. Coming in at 30% of the business, that holding gives insiders a lot of influence, and plenty of reason to generate value for shareholders. So it might be my imagination, but I do sense the glimmer of an opportunity.

Should You Add GPS Participações e Empreendimentos To Your Watchlist?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about GPS Participações e Empreendimentos's strong EPS growth. Further, the high level of insider ownership impresses me, and suggests that I'm not the only one who appreciates the EPS growth. So this is very likely the kind of business that I like to spend time researching, with a view to discerning its true value. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.