Stock Analysis

Does Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD (BUL:IHB) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BUL:IHB
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD (BUL:IHB) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD

What Is Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD had лв34.5m of debt in December 2020, down from лв51.7m, one year before. However, it does have лв6.94m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about лв27.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BUL:IHB Debt to Equity History May 18th 2021

A Look At Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD had liabilities of лв31.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of лв34.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of лв6.94m as well as receivables valued at лв8.86m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by лв49.9m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD has a market capitalization of лв88.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Even though Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD's debt is only 1.7, its interest cover is really very low at 1.5. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Shareholders should be aware that Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD's EBIT was down 87% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Neither Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD's ability to grow its EBIT nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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