Stock Analysis

Even after rising 11% this past week, bpost/SA (EBR:BPOST) shareholders are still down 57% over the past three years

It is a pleasure to report that the bpost NV/SA (EBR:BPOST) is up 65% in the last quarter. But over the last three years we've seen a quite serious decline. Tragically, the share price declined 61% in that time. So it's good to see it climbing back up. The rise has some hopeful, but turnarounds are often precarious.

On a more encouraging note the company has added €45m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

bpost/SA saw its share price decline over the three years in which its EPS also dropped, falling to a loss. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
ENXTBR:BPOST Earnings Per Share Growth July 25th 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on bpost/SA's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between bpost/SA's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for bpost/SA shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 57%, over the last 3 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 9.4% in the last year, bpost/SA shareholders lost 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 9% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand bpost/SA better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for bpost/SA (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

But note: bpost/SA may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Belgian exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTBR:BPOST

bpost/SA

Provides mail and parcel services to individuals, businesses, and public institutions in Belgium, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.

Fair value with moderate growth potential.

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