Stock Analysis

Is Etn. Fr. Colruyt (EBR:COLR) A Risky Investment?

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ENXTBR:COLR
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Etn. Fr. Colruyt NV (EBR:COLR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Etn. Fr. Colruyt

What Is Etn. Fr. Colruyt's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Etn. Fr. Colruyt had €684.9m of debt, an increase on €222.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has €304.2m in cash leading to net debt of about €380.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTBR:COLR Debt to Equity History September 27th 2022

A Look At Etn. Fr. Colruyt's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Etn. Fr. Colruyt had liabilities of €2.29b due within a year, and liabilities of €864.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €304.2m in cash and €682.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.17b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Etn. Fr. Colruyt has a market capitalization of €3.71b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Etn. Fr. Colruyt has net debt of just 0.55 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. In fact Etn. Fr. Colruyt's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 23% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Etn. Fr. Colruyt can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Etn. Fr. Colruyt's free cash flow amounted to 50% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Etn. Fr. Colruyt's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We think that Etn. Fr. Colruyt's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Etn. Fr. Colruyt is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Etn. Fr. Colruyt is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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About ENXTBR:COLR

Etn. Fr. Colruyt

Etn. Fr. Colruyt NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail, wholesale, food service, and other activities in Belgium, France, and internationally.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation4
Future Growth1
Past Performance1
Financial Health4
Dividends3

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.