AGL Energy Limited

ASX:AGL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.9b

AGL Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

AGL Energy's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 17% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 16.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.7% in 3 years.

Key information

17.0%

Earnings growth rate

16.53%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth8.7%
Revenue growth rate-0.4%
Future return on equity10.71%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is There An Opportunity With AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) 47% Undervaluation?

May 18
Is There An Opportunity With AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) 47% Undervaluation?

Returns On Capital At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Have Hit The Brakes

Apr 12
Returns On Capital At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Have Hit The Brakes

What You Can Learn From AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) P/E

Mar 25
What You Can Learn From AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) P/E

AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Mar 03
AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
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Electrification Initiatives Will Leverage Growing NEM Demand By 2050

Expansion and strategic investments aim to boost revenue, improve stability, and enhance operational efficiencies in the rapidly evolving energy market.

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

Feb 07
AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Dec 06
Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?

Nov 18
Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

Oct 18
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Sep 30
AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

Jul 11
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

Investors Aren't Buying AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Revenues

Jun 12
Investors Aren't Buying AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Revenues

AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

Apr 27
AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Using Too Much Debt?

Apr 06
Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Using Too Much Debt?

We Don’t Think AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

Feb 15
We Don’t Think AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AGL Energy (ASX:AGL)

Feb 10
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AGL Energy (ASX:AGL)

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Sep 29
Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

Aug 14
AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Jul 29
Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:AGL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202714,3227415781,7047
6/30/202614,0566945501,6357
6/30/202513,8045023451,4437
12/31/202414,5322327671,904N/A
9/30/202414,0584721,0852,072N/A
6/30/202413,5837111,4022,240N/A
3/31/202413,0585491,1841,953N/A
12/31/202312,5323879661,666N/A
9/30/202313,345-4386271,289N/A
6/30/202314,157-1,264288912N/A
3/31/202314,737-1,017129758N/A
12/31/202215,316-770-30603N/A
9/30/202214,26945281915N/A
6/30/202213,2218605911,227N/A
3/31/202212,2318176021,265N/A
12/31/202111,2407736121,303N/A
9/30/202111,091-6425841,277N/A
6/30/202110,942-2,0585551,250N/A
3/31/202111,103-1,8257641,418N/A
12/31/202011,263-1,5929731,585N/A
9/30/202011,712-2921,1861,849N/A
6/30/202012,1601,0071,3982,112N/A
3/31/202012,6919731,2612,084N/A
12/31/201913,2219381,1242,056N/A
9/30/201913,2349229041,828N/A
6/30/201913,2469056841,599N/A
3/31/201912,9751,0819621,810N/A
12/31/201812,7031,2561,2402,020N/A
9/30/201812,7601,419N/A2,082N/A
6/30/201812,8161,582N/A2,143N/A
3/31/201812,9101,206N/A1,682N/A
12/31/201713,004830N/A1,221N/A
9/30/201712,794685N/A1,056N/A
6/30/201712,584539N/A891N/A
3/31/201712,082453N/A945N/A
12/31/201611,579366N/A999N/A
9/30/201611,365-21N/A1,093N/A
6/30/201611,150-408N/A1,186N/A
3/31/201611,123-473N/A1,150N/A
12/31/201511,096-539N/A1,114N/A
9/30/201510,887-160N/A1,079N/A
6/30/201510,678218N/A1,044N/A
3/31/201510,510418N/A792N/A
12/31/201410,341617N/A539N/A
9/30/201410,393594N/A619N/A
6/30/201410,445570N/A699N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGL's forecast earnings growth (17% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: AGL's earnings (17% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AGL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AGL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/24 08:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/23 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AGL Energy Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Reinhardt van der WaltBofA Global Research